Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
353 FNUS74 KEPZ 202334 FWSEPZ Spot Forecast for Normandy...USFS National Weather Service El Paso Tx/Santa Teresa NM 534 PM MDT Thu Jun 20 2024 Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 MDT on June 20. If conditions become unrepresentative, contact the National Weather Service. ...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 3 AM MDT FRIDAY... .DISCUSSION... Breezy to windy east-southeast flow due to a moisture intrusion will continue through tonight and Friday. The strongest winds are expected late this evening, gradually decreasing on Friday. Very Good smoke ventilation expected on Friday to the northwest. Isolated rain showers possible through tomorrow morning, becoming scattered in the afternoon. Gusty and erratic winds are possible from the shower activity. Through the weekend, scattered showers and thunderstorms are possible each afternoon with drier and warmer conditions returning. .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Chance of showers early in the evening, then slight chance of showers late in the evening. Slight chance of showers after 3 am. Chance of pcpn......30 percent. LAL.................1. Min temperature.....Around 68. Max humidity........70 percent. Wind (20 ft)........Breezy. East winds 20 to 28 mph. Gusts up to 44 mph decreasing to 30 mph after 3 am. Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 31 to 37 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (155200 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to fair (59600 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 8 PM 10 PM MIDNGT 2 AM 4 AM Sky (%).........8 8 41 73 73 61 Weather cov.....CHANCE CHANCE S CHC NONE NONE S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR NONE NONE RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).30 30 20 10 10 20 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............89 83 78 74 72 71 RH..............26 36 47 55 61 63 20 ft wind......E 26 E 26 E 28 E 25 E 25 E 20 20 ft wind gust.42 42 44 39 39 30 Mix hgt (ft)....5700 3700 1800 1800 1300 1300 Transport wind..E 35 E 35 E 37 E 37 E 31 E 31 Haines index....3 3 3 3 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..155 95 60 60 45 45 Ventrate Cat....EXNT GOOD FAIR FAIR FAIR FAIR .FRIDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Chance of showers early in the afternoon. Showers likely late in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......70 percent. LAL.................1. Max temperature.....Around 88. Min humidity........37 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 16 to 20 mph with gusts to around 33 mph. Mixing height.......6400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 20 to 26 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Fair (55500 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (111100 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 8 AM 10 AM NOON 2 PM 4 PM Sky (%).........57 57 65 80 80 86 Weather cov.....NONE NONE NONE CHANCE CHANCE LIKELY Weather type....NONE NONE NONE RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE NONE Chc of pcpn (%).10 10 10 40 40 70 LAL.............1 1 1 1 1 1 Temp............69 71 77 82 86 85 RH..............70 66 54 44 39 39 20 ft wind......E 18 E 18 E 20 E 18 E 18 E 16 20 ft wind gust.30 30 33 30 26 25 Mix hgt (ft)....1400 2400 3200 5200 6400 5400 Transport wind..E 26 E 26 SE 24 SE 24 E 20 E 20 Haines index....2 2 2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..26 56 72 92 111 101 Ventrate Cat....POOR FAIR GOOD GOOD VYGD VYGD .FRIDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Showers and thunderstorms likely in the evening, then slight chance of showers and thunderstorms overnight. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. LAL.................5 until 2400, then 3. Min temperature.....Around 70. Max humidity........62 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds 10 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 28 mph in the evening and overnight. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms. Mixing height.......500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southeast 18 to 22 mph decreasing to around 12 mph overnight. Smoke dispersal.....Good (97400 knot-ft) early in the evening decreasing to poor (5800 knot-ft) late in the night. Haines Index........2 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 PM 9 PM MIDNGT 3 AM Sky (%).........83 86 78 68 Weather cov.....LIKELY LIKELY S CHC S CHC Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........LIKELY LIKELY S CHC S CHC Chc of pcpn (%).60 60 20 20 LAL.............5 5 3 3 Temp............82 77 74 73 RH..............41 52 59 57 20 FT wind......E 14G28 E 12G23 E 11G22 E 10G18 Mix hgt (ft)....4600 1600 700 500 Transport wind..SE 22 SE 22 SE 18 SE 12 Haines index....2 2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..97 37 11 6 Ventrate Cat....GOOD POOR POOR POOR .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent). Slight chance of showers in the morning, then chance of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. LAL.................1 until 1200, then 4. Max temperature.....Around 92. Min humidity........22 percent. Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 12 mph. Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms in the afternoon. Mixing height.......10900 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East 11 to 13 mph. Smoke dispersal.....Poor (26200 knot-ft) early in the morning increasing to very good (119800 knot-ft) in the afternoon. Haines Index........2 to 3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. TIME (MDT) 6 AM 10 AM 2 PM Sky (%).........52 34 39 Weather cov.....S CHC S CHC CHANCE Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR Tstm cov........NONE NONE CHANCE Chc of pcpn (%).20 20 40 LAL.............1 1 4 Temp............71 80 90 RH..............61 44 26 20 FT wind......E 12G21 E 12G22 E 12G22 Mix hgt (ft)....2600 9000 10900 Transport wind..E 11 E 12 E 13 Haines index....2 2 2 Vrate kt-ft/1K..26 93 120 Ventrate Cat....POOR GOOD VYGD .FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5... .SUNDAY... Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. East winds around 9 mph. .MONDAY... Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Highs in the mid 90s. West winds around 8 mph. .TUESDAY... Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 70s. Highs in the mid 90s. West winds around 8 mph. $$ Forecaster...ARONSON Requested by...Silver City Interagency Dispatch Type of request...WILDFIRE .TAG 2416410.2/EPZ .DELDT 06/20/24 .FormatterVersion 2.0.0 .EMAIL nmsdc@firenet.gov