452
FXUS65 KFGZ 280308
AFDFGZ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ
808 PM MST Thu Jun 27 2024

.SYNOPSIS...Showers and thunderstorms will continue, mostly north
of the Mogollon Rim this evening and end around midnight.
Activity decreases for Friday and Saturday with only isolated
storms. Moisture, showers, and thunderstorms chances increase
again from Sunday into next week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms continue to move east this
evening in eastern Coconino County and Apache and Navajo counties
mostly north of Interstate 40. This activity will continue to push
eastward and decrease into the early morning hours. Current
forecast has this trend handled well and no updates needed.

&&

.AVIATION...Friday 28/00Z through Saturday 29/00Z...Isolated to
scattered SHRA/TSRA north and east of a KFLG-KGCN line through 03Z.
SHRA may linger near Chinle/Window Rock (KRQE) through 09Z. TSRA/SHRA
possible east of a KPGA-KINW-KJTC line from 19Z Friday-00Z
Saturday. Brief MVFR conditions and gusty, erratic winds to 40
kts possible in and around TS. SW winds 10-15 kts with gusts up to
20-25 kts before 03Z, then becoming light and variable.

OUTLOOK...Saturday 29/00Z through Monday 01/00Z...TSRA/SHRA
possible east of a KPGA-KINW-KJTC line from 00-03Z Saturday.
Another round of TSRA/SHRA possible in vicinity of KSOW/KJTC on
Saturday. Moisture surges back north and west on Sunday for
widespread SHRA/TSRA. Winds SW 10-15 kts on Friday, subsiding to
5-10 kts on Saturday and 10-20 kts on Sunday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...Today through Saturday...Scattered showers and
storms along and north of the Mogollon Rim this afternoon, with
heavy rain, hail, and gusty winds possible in the stronger
storms. Expect a drying trend Friday and Saturday with a few
isolated storms possible. Warm temperatures with breezy southwest
winds 10-20 mph each day.

Sunday through Tuesday...Moisture and thunderstorm chances begin
to increase from Sunday into next week. Warm temperatures with
southwest winds 10-15 mph each day.

&&

.FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None.

&&

$$

PUBLIC...MAS/MCT
AVIATION...MAS
FIRE WEATHER...MCT

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