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Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
Issued by NWS Flagstaff, AZ
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452 FXUS65 KFGZ 280308 AFDFGZ Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Flagstaff AZ 808 PM MST Thu Jun 27 2024 .SYNOPSIS...Showers and thunderstorms will continue, mostly north of the Mogollon Rim this evening and end around midnight. Activity decreases for Friday and Saturday with only isolated storms. Moisture, showers, and thunderstorms chances increase again from Sunday into next week. && .DISCUSSION...Showers and thunderstorms continue to move east this evening in eastern Coconino County and Apache and Navajo counties mostly north of Interstate 40. This activity will continue to push eastward and decrease into the early morning hours. Current forecast has this trend handled well and no updates needed. && .AVIATION...Friday 28/00Z through Saturday 29/00Z...Isolated to scattered SHRA/TSRA north and east of a KFLG-KGCN line through 03Z. SHRA may linger near Chinle/Window Rock (KRQE) through 09Z. TSRA/SHRA possible east of a KPGA-KINW-KJTC line from 19Z Friday-00Z Saturday. Brief MVFR conditions and gusty, erratic winds to 40 kts possible in and around TS. SW winds 10-15 kts with gusts up to 20-25 kts before 03Z, then becoming light and variable. OUTLOOK...Saturday 29/00Z through Monday 01/00Z...TSRA/SHRA possible east of a KPGA-KINW-KJTC line from 00-03Z Saturday. Another round of TSRA/SHRA possible in vicinity of KSOW/KJTC on Saturday. Moisture surges back north and west on Sunday for widespread SHRA/TSRA. Winds SW 10-15 kts on Friday, subsiding to 5-10 kts on Saturday and 10-20 kts on Sunday. && .FIRE WEATHER...Today through Saturday...Scattered showers and storms along and north of the Mogollon Rim this afternoon, with heavy rain, hail, and gusty winds possible in the stronger storms. Expect a drying trend Friday and Saturday with a few isolated storms possible. Warm temperatures with breezy southwest winds 10-20 mph each day. Sunday through Tuesday...Moisture and thunderstorm chances begin to increase from Sunday into next week. Warm temperatures with southwest winds 10-15 mph each day. && .FGZ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...None. && $$ PUBLIC...MAS/MCT AVIATION...MAS FIRE WEATHER...MCT For Northern Arizona weather information visit weather.gov/flagstaff