665
FXUS64 KFWD 290747
AFDFWD

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fort Worth TX
247 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024

...New Long Term...

.SHORT TERM... /Issued 1241 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/
/Through Sunday/

As high pressure remains the dominant feature, another hot day is
expected across our region. All of North and Central Texas is now
under a Heat Advisory or an Excessive Heat Warning, with the
hottest and most dangerous conditions expected within the
Excessive Heat Warning.

Temperatures this afternoon will climb into the mid 90s to around
102 with heat index values topping out closer to 112. Caution
should be taken if you are planning on spending time outdoors
today. Those who are most at risk will be the heat-sensitive
groups as well as those who will be actively exposed to the sun
for a long duration of time. Remember to stay hydrated, seek a
cool place to take a break from the heat as well as wear light-
colored clothing!

Tonight, temperatures will remain in the mid to upper 70s across
the region. The urban heat island effect will keep temperatures in
the 80s within the Dallas/Fort Worth Metroplex.

A stalled weak front across Oklahoma will likely lead to a few
showers and storms well north of our region, with a few boundaries
likely pushing closer to the Red River late in the afternoon.
Although convection will likely be limited by the subsident air
aloft, an isolated shower or storm cannot be ruled out mainly
across far northeast TX. Temperatures tomorrow are likely to be
1-2 degrees cooler compared to today with heat index values mostly
below 108 degrees. The Excessive Heat Warning is unlikely to
continue into Sunday, however, the Heat Advisory may be extended
for parts of our region for tomorrow afternoon.

Hernandez

&&

.LONG TERM... /NEW/
/Sunday Night Through Next Week/

Widespread triple digit temperatures will continue throughout the
week, with the hottest temperatures expected on Tuesday. Heat
index values will be between 103-110 degrees each day, but >110
degrees should be less common than we experienced this week. Heat
headlines will continue throughout the week for most (if not all)
areas. There are some early indications that the ridge responsible
for our hot and quiet weather will weaken and shift further west
late next week. As a result, rain chances will return late in the
week and potentially continue into next weekend. While most of
the rain would occur Friday onward, it`s worth monitoring the
forecast if you have any outdoor plans for the July 4th holiday,
as timing is certainly subject to change over the next several
days.

Barnes

&&

.AVIATION... /Issued 1241 AM CDT Sat Jun 29 2024/
/06Z TAFs/

VFR and southerly winds are ongoing at this time but this will be
changing as we get closer to sunrise. Southerly low-level winds
will help draw a plume of stratus northward, impacting KACT first,
then all of the DFW TAF sites. Intermittent MVFR is expected
between 11-14Z at KACT and 13-15Z across North Texas.

The low ceilings will improve during the late morning hours,
leaving behind VFR with continued southerly winds generally below
15 knots.

Hernandez

&&


.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Dallas-Ft. Worth    99  81  98  81 100 /   0   5   5   5   5
Waco                99  78  97  78  99 /   0   0   0   0   0
Paris               96  78  95  76  95 /   0   5  20   5  10
Denton             100  79  99  78 100 /   0   5   5   5   5
McKinney            98  80  98  79  99 /   0   5  10   5   5
Dallas              99  81  99  81 100 /   0   5   5   5   5
Terrell             96  78  96  78  97 /   0   5   5   5   5
Corsicana           98  78  98  79 100 /   5   5   5   5   5
Temple              99  77  97  76 100 /   0   5   0   0   0
Mineral Wells       99  77  99  77 100 /   0   5   5   0   0

&&

.FWD WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
Excessive Heat Warning until 7 PM CDT this evening for
TXZ091>095-100>107-116>123-131>135-144>148-159-161-162.

Heat Advisory until 7 PM CDT this evening for TXZ115-129-130-
141>143-156>158-160-174-175.

&&

$$