Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
Issued by NWS Grand Rapids, MI
858 FNUS53 KGRR 211940 FWFGRR Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southwest Lower Michigan National Weather Service Grand Rapids MI 340 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 ...Warm and Humid with Storms... .DISCUSSION...The very warm and humid air mass will continue into Saturday night. Several rounds of storms appear possible during this period. The axis of warmest air will shift east of the area Sunday as a cold front pushes through by morning. MIZ037>039-043>045-220815- Mason-Lake-Osceola-Oceana-Newaygo-Mecosta- Including the cities of Ludington, Baldwin, Reed City, Hart, Fremont, and Big Rapids 340 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Min temperature.....62-67. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Light winds. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......200-700 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1500-2000 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....West around 5 mph shifting to the south overnight. Smoke dispersal.....60-120 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.22 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......80 percent. Max temperature.....80-85. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Min humidity........71-76 percent near Lake Michigan and 63-68 percent Inland. 24 hr trend......3 percent wetter near Lake Michigan and 16 percent wetter Inland. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1900-2400 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....330-440 (good). Pcpn Amount.........0.20-1.07 in. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Thunderstorms likely until 11 PM. Rain showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 PM. Chance of pcpn......90 percent. Min temperature.....58-63. 24 hr trend......7 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph and gusty. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....220-230 (fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.41-1.25 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Max temperature.....71-76. 24 hr trend......5 degrees cooler. Min humidity........68-73 percent near Lake Michigan and 59-64 percent Inland. 24 hr trend......6 percent drier near Lake Michigan and 11 percent drier Inland. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusts up to 20 mph in the afternoon. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1700-2200 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 3400-3900 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....640-1000 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in. $$ MIZ040-046-220815- Clare-Isabella- Including the cities of Clare and Mount Pleasant 340 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (65-75 percent) until 11 PM, then mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Patchy fog after 1 AM until 5 AM. Chance of pcpn......50 percent. Min temperature.....62-67. 24 hr trend......4 degrees warmer. Max humidity........99 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southeast winds 5 to 7 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......900-1400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....East around 5 mph shifting to the south overnight. Smoke dispersal.....80-90 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.13 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Chance of showers until 2 PM. Chance of thunderstorms. Showers likely after 2 PM. Chance of pcpn......60 percent. Max temperature.....80-85. 24 hr trend......3 degrees cooler. Min humidity........58-63 percent. 24 hr trend......11 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 5 to 9 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 15 mph. Smoke dispersal.....390-470 (good). Pcpn Amount.........0.29-0.80 in. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Thunderstorms likely until 11 PM. Showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 PM. Chance of pcpn......90 percent. Min temperature.....59-64. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Gusts up to 24 mph overnight. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1200-1700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....260-270 (fair). Pcpn Amount.........0.30-0.81 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Max temperature.....Around 76. 24 hr trend......8 degrees cooler. Min humidity........56-61 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3900-4400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Northwest 20 to 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....760-1130 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None. $$ MIZ050-056-064-071-220815- Muskegon-Ottawa-Allegan-Van Buren- Including the cities of Muskegon, Grand Haven, Jenison, Holland, and South Haven 340 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent). Min temperature.....64-69. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......300-800 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 1200-1700 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....60-110 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.07 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Max temperature.....87-92. 24 hr trend......3 degrees warmer. Min humidity........47-52 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 6100-6600 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1270-1600 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.47 in. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......90 percent. Min temperature.....61-66. 24 hr trend......6 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around 26 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......800-1300 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 2100-2600 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....270-410 (fair to good). Pcpn Amount.........0.22-0.65 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent) until 5 PM, then sunny (20-30 percent). Max temperature.....73-78. 24 hr trend......16 degrees cooler. Min humidity........62-67 percent. 24 hr trend......16 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......Northwest winds 8 to 13 mph. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2100-2600 ft AGL near Lake Michigan and 3200-3700 ft AGL Inland. Transport winds.....Northwest around 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....570-860 (good to excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.02 in. $$ MIZ051-052-057>059-220815- Montcalm-Gratiot-Kent-Ionia-Clinton- Including the cities of Greenville, Alma, Grand Rapids, Ionia, and St. Johns 340 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (50-60 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms until 12 AM. Chance of pcpn......30 percent in the evening. Min temperature.....Around 71. 24 hr trend......5 degrees warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 5 mph overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1800-2300 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 5 mph. Smoke dispersal.....60-180 (poor to fair). Pcpn Amount.........None to 0.15 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of showers and thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......40 percent. Max temperature.....85-90. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. Min humidity........46-51 percent. 24 hr trend......8 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 7 to 12 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......5000-5500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....790-1050 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........0.01-0.46 in. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Thunderstorms likely until 11 PM. Showers. Chance of thunderstorms after 11 PM. Chance of pcpn......90 percent. Min temperature.....63-68. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around 26 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......2000-2500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....320-330 (good). Pcpn Amount.........0.18-0.60 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Max temperature.....Around 77. 24 hr trend......10 degrees cooler. Min humidity........48-53 percent. 24 hr trend......9 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph with higher gusts. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......4000-4500 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West 20 to 25 mph. Smoke dispersal.....740-1210 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.01 in. $$ MIZ065>067-072>074-220815- Barry-Eaton-Ingham-Kalamazoo-Calhoun-Jackson- Including the cities of Hastings, Charlotte, Lansing, Kalamazoo, Battle Creek, and Jackson 340 PM EDT Fri Jun 21 2024 .TONIGHT... Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (30-40 percent). Min temperature.....69-74. 24 hr trend......1 degree warmer. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Light winds becoming south around 6 mph overnight. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1300-1800 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph. Smoke dispersal.....60-110 (poor). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.06 in. .SATURDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Slight chance of showers. Slight chance of thunderstorms after 11 AM. Chance of pcpn......20 percent. Max temperature.....88-93. 24 hr trend......2 degrees warmer. Min humidity........42-47 percent. 24 hr trend......7 percent drier. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 9 to 14 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......6200-6700 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest around 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....1360-1460 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in. .SATURDAY NIGHT... Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Showers and a chance of thunderstorms. Chance of pcpn......90 percent. Min temperature.....65-70. 24 hr trend......2 degrees cooler. Max humidity........95-100 percent. 24 hr trend......Unchanged. 20-foot winds.......Southwest winds 12 to 17 mph with gusts to around 26 mph. Haines Index........4 or low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......1900-2400 ft AGL. Transport winds.....Southwest 15 to 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....300-330 (good). Pcpn Amount.........0.09-0.38 in. .SUNDAY... Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Max temperature.....77-82. 24 hr trend......12 degrees cooler. Min humidity........56-61 percent. 24 hr trend......14 percent wetter. 20-foot winds.......West winds 9 to 14 mph with higher gusts. Haines Index........3 or very low potential for large plume dominated fire growth. Mixing height.......3700-4200 ft AGL. Transport winds.....West around 20 mph. Smoke dispersal.....740-920 (excellent). Pcpn Amount.........none to 0.03 in. $$ .FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7... .SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 50s. Northwest winds 5 to 10 mph. .MONDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds 5 to 9 mph. .MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 60s. South winds 5 to 9 mph. .TUESDAY...Partly sunny with a chance of showers. Highs in the upper 80s. Southwest winds 6 to 11 mph. .TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy with a chance of showers and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 60s. West winds 5 to 10 mph. .WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. Northwest winds 6 to 11 mph. .WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Cooler. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. .THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 70s. .THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 50s. .FRIDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 80s. $$