Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Wilmington, NC

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378
FNUS52 KILM 290657
FWFILM

Fire Weather Planning Forecast
for Northeast South Carolina and Southeast North Carolina
National Weather Service Wilmington NC
257 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

.DISCUSSION...
Hot and humid weather will continue as Bermuda high pressure
controls our weather. An approaching cold front will bring much
better chances of showers and thunderstorms late Sunday into
Monday. After dry and mild weather Tuesday, heat and humidity
will return for the second half of next week.

Wind profile analysis/fire control over flat terrain is Favorable.

Fog potential for tonight is Low.

NCZ105>110-292300-
Inland Pender-Coastal Pender-Inland New Hanover-
Coastal New Hanover-Inland Brunswick-Coastal Brunswick-
Including the cities of Burgaw, Surf City, Wilmington, Masonboro,
Myrtle Grove, Ogden, Carolina Beach, Seagate,
Boiling Spring Lakes, Leland, Shallotte, Oak Island, Long Beach,
Southport, and Sunset Beach
257 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            40
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   1            1            3
Max/Min Temp          92           75           94
Min/Max RH (%)        54           96           57
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      S  5         SW  4
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   S  5         Lgt/Var      S  8 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Begin                                    8 AM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  79/0800      2100         81/0800
Dispersion                         Poor
Haines Index          3            4            3
DSI                   2                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       5000                      5100
Transport Wind (mph)  S 10                      SW 15
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    50000                     76500
ADI Early             36 Fair      57 Gen Good  56 Gen Good
ADI Late              58 Gen Good  6 Very Poor  65 Good
Max LVORI Early       9            5            6
Max LVORI Late        1            6            2
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      A            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 98 percent. Chance
of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
55 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 98 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 55 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

NCZ087-096-099-292300-
Robeson-Bladen-Columbus-
Including the cities of Lumberton, Elizabethtown, Bladenboro,
Whiteville, Tabor City, Chadbourn, and Lake Waccamaw
257 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     0            0            60
Precip Type           None         None         Tstms
LAL                   2            2            4
Max/Min Temp          95           76           96
Min/Max RH (%)        47           97           52
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      S  4         Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.11
Precip Duration                                 2
Precip Begin                                    8 AM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  78/0900      2100         79/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            4
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       6200                      6200
Transport Wind (mph)  S  9                      SW 13
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    55800                     80600
ADI Early             34 Fair      66 Good      56 Gen Good
ADI Late              69 Good      6 Very Poor  75 Good
Max LVORI Early       9            5            6
Max LVORI Late        1            7            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            6 Rain
Turner Stability      A            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers likely and a chance of
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 69 percent.
Chance of precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 60s. Maximum RH
97 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH 52 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH
51 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
96 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 49 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ054>056-058-059-292300-
Coastal Horry-Inland Georgetown-Coastal Georgetown-Central Horry-
Northern Horry-
Including the cities of Myrtle Beach, Socastee,
North Myrtle Beach, Garden City, Little River, Andrews,
Georgetown, Murrells Inlet, Conway, Longs, Bucksport, Loris,
Green Sea, and Aynor
257 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     20           0            40
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            1            3
Max/Min Temp          93           75           93
Min/Max RH (%)        56           98           59
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      S  4         Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   S  5         Lgt/Var      S  7 G17
Precip Amount         0.01         0.00         0.04
Precip Duration       1                         1
Precip Begin          1 PM                      8 AM
Precip End            6 PM                      Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  80/0900      2100         80/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          3            3            3
DSI                   2                         2
Mixing Hgt (ft)       4700                      5200
Transport Wind (mph)  S  9                      S 14
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    42300                     72800
ADI Early             30 Fair      52 Gen Good  52 Gen Good
ADI Late              53 Gen Good  5 Very Poor  62 Good
Max LVORI Early       9            5            6
Max LVORI Late        2            6            2
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            7
Turner Stability      A            F            A

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
South winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Showers with thunderstorms likely. Highs in the mid
80s. Minimum RH 79 percent. Chance of precipitation 90 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 99 percent.
North winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
66 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Partly cloudy. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
98 percent. East winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the upper 80s. Minimum RH
60 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 70s. Maximum
RH 99 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the lower 90s. Minimum RH 56 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
98 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 57 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

SCZ017-023-024-032-033-039-292300-
Marlboro-Darlington-Dillon-Florence-Marion-Williamsburg-
Including the cities of Bennettsville, McColl, Hartsville,
Darlington, North Hartsville, Dillon, Florence, Marion, Mullins,
and Kingstree
257 AM EDT Sat Jun 29 2024

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Chance (%)     20           0            60
Precip Type           Tstms        None         Tstms
LAL                   2            2            4
Max/Min Temp          95           75           95
Min/Max RH (%)        49           97           56
Wind20ft/Early (mph)  Lgt/Var      S  4         Lgt/Var
Wind20ft/Late (mph)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5
Precip Amount         0.03         0.00         0.10
Precip Duration       0                         2
Precip Begin          2 PM                      8 AM
Precip End            6 PM                      Continuing
Inversion(Temp/Time)  81/0900      2100         79/0800
Dispersion                         Very Poor
Haines Index          4            3            4
DSI                   3                         3
Mixing Hgt (ft)       5900                      6200
Transport Wind (mph)  S  9                      SW 10
Vent Rate (mph-ft)    53100                     62000
ADI Early             31 Fair      54 Gen Good  50 Gen Good
ADI Late              62 Good      5 Very Poor  69 Good
Max LVORI Early       9            5            6
Max LVORI Late        1            6            1
Min VSBY Early        7            7            7
Min VSBY Late         7            7            6 Rain
Turner Stability      A            F            B

Remarks...None.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms
likely. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH 100 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Light winds.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with showers and thunderstorms likely.
Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH 73 percent. Chance of
precipitation 70 percent. Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY NIGHT...Mostly cloudy with a 50 percent chance of showers
and thunderstorms. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH 97 percent.
Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs in the mid 80s. Minimum RH
59 percent. Northeast winds around 5 mph.
.TUESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the upper 60s. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly sunny. Highs around 90. Minimum RH
55 percent. Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows around 70. Maximum RH
100 percent. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Sunny. Highs in the mid 90s. Minimum RH 51 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY NIGHT...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 70s. Maximum RH
97 percent. South winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Sunny with a 30 percent chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Highs in the upper 90s. Minimum RH 50 percent.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.

$$

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
VENTILATION RATE         BURN CATEGORY  VENTILATION RATE
===================================================================
   NOT USED                    0             0 TO 14759
    0 TO 17249                 1         14760 TO 33499
17250 TO 34499                 2         33500 TO 44999
34500 TO 51749                 3         45000 TO 59999
51750 TO 68999                 4         60000 TO 111999
69000 OR GREATER               5        112000 OR GREATER

     SC USERS                               NC USERS
===================================================================
FORECAST SURFACE WIND    DISPERSION    FORECAST SURFACE WIND
===================================================================
                         STAGNANT       NEAR CALM
CALM                     VERY POOR      2 TO 4 MPH
2 TO 5 MPH                 POOR         5 TO 8 MPH
6 TO 8 MPH                 FAIR         9 TO 12 MPH
9 TO 13 MPH                GOOD         GREATER THAN 12 MPH
14 MPH OR MORE           EXCELLENT

ADI is Atmospheric Dispersion Index by LAVDAS.
LVORI is Low Visibility Occurrence Risk Index.

$$

Forecaster...TRA