Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
Issued by NWS Key West, FL
696 FXUS62 KKEY 231446 AFDKEY Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Key West FL 1046 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 ...New DISCUSSION, MARINE, AVIATION... .DISCUSSION... Issued at 1045 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 Another active radar this morning in the Florida Keys. Surface winds across the reef have increased to 10 to 15 knots in the east to southeast direction. Temperatures across the island chain have been in the mid to upper 70s but as clouds disperse it is expected to warm up to the upper 80s rapidly. Temperatures in the Upper Keys have started to display this as they have warmed around 4 degrees already since shower activity there has diminished. Mid-level water vapor verifies the trough that is being observed on RAOBs 12z sounding analysis is slightly sagging towards our CWA and one of our big components in weather-making. As for the rest of today and tonight, rain chances will remain elevated although a lull in activity is starting to occur now, it will become active once again tonight, similar to yesterday`s pattern. No changes to the forecast are necessary at this time. && .MARINE... Issued at 1045 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 There are no watches, warnings, or advisories in effect for the Florida Keys coastal waters. From synopsis, high pressure over the western Atlantic and low pressure over the Bay of Campeche will maintain gentle to moderate east to southeast breezes across the Keys coastal waters, becoming light to gentle tonight through Monday evening. The western Atlantic ridge will settle southward into the Florida Straits during the middle and later part of the week, with light southwest to west breezes prevailing over the Keys waters. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 1045 AM EDT Sun Jun 23 2024 Shower and thunderstorm activity in the vicinity of both island terminals has waned over the past couple of hours. VCSH has been removed from the TAFs for much of this afternoon. However, recharging of the atmosphere by late this afternoon or evening warrants inclusion of another line of VCSH in the TAFs beginning around 00z. Uncertainty for the timing and location of the next round of convection is very high, and short-term amendments will be issued as needed based on radar trends. Near surface winds will be variable early, becoming east to southeasterly at 6 to 10 knots. && .KEY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... FL...None. GM...None. && $$ Public/Marine/Fire...AP Aviation/Nowcasts....BT Data Acquisition.....BT Visit us on the web at weather.gov/key Follow us on Facebook and Twitter at: www.facebook.com/nwskeywest www.twitter.com/nwskeywest