751
FXUS64 KLZK 140442 AAA
AFDLZK

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Little Rock AR
1142 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Saturday)
Issued at 234 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Summertime weather is here, and whether that`s good or bad is up to
you. An upper level ridge will be building over the region and
shifting a bit eastward during the short term, while high pressure
remains in control at the surface.

It should come as no surprise that afternoon highs are going to top
out in the 90`s tomorrow and Saturday. In fact, I would not be
surprised if a few of the warmer locations somewhere around the
state briefly hit 100.

With no strong winds and plenty of sunshine, heat stress will be
notable. Wet bulb globe temperatures will reach high to extreme
levels in much of the state both afternoons.

If there is one positive note, dewpoints are going to remain
generally in the 60`s in most areas, and while those are far from
comfortable levels, it could certainly be a lot worse. Because of
that, heat index values will likely remain below 105.

There could be a stray shower or thunderstorm tomorrow afternoon in
the far northwest near the MO border...but otherwise no
precipitation is expected.

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Saturday Night through next Thursday)
Issued at 234 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

The upper ridge officially moves east of Arkansas as we head into
the long term. Before the heat subsides, the humidity will increase
with heat index values over 100 this weekend. The most oppressive day
will be on Sunday with indices in the 100 to 105 degree range. By
the start of the work week, clouds will stream ahead of a developing
tropical system over Mexico. Temperatures, although not cool, will
drop a few degrees and diurnal convection will be possible.

&&

.AVIATION...
(06Z TAFS)
Issued at 1141 PM CDT Thu Jun 13 2024

Expect dominant VFR conditions to persist through this TAF
period. Winds will remain less than 10 kts sustained and mainly
variable. There could be some convection early Fri morning across
NRN sections...then again during the afternoon hrs.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Batesville AR     67  94  72  92 /   0  20  20  10
Camden AR         63  97  68  98 /   0   0   0   0
Harrison AR       67  91  70  90 /  10  20  20  10
Hot Springs AR    66  96  71  97 /   0   0   0   0
Little Rock   AR  69  97  75  97 /   0   0  10   0
Monticello AR     66  95  71  97 /   0   0   0   0
Mount Ida AR      65  95  70  95 /   0   0   0   0
Mountain Home AR  67  91  70  90 /  20  30  20  10
Newport AR        68  95  74  94 /   0  20  20  10
Pine Bluff AR     66  96  72  97 /   0   0   0   0
Russellville AR   68  96  74  96 /   0  10  10  10
Searcy AR         66  95  73  95 /   0  10  10  10
Stuttgart AR      68  95  74  95 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.LZK WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...53
LONG TERM....61
AVIATION...62