Severe Storm Outlook Narrative (AC)
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Issued by NWS
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998 ACUS11 KWNS 262226 SWOMCD SPC MCD 262226 TNZ000-KYZ000-GAZ000-ALZ000-262330- Mesoscale Discussion 1433 NWS Storm Prediction Center Norman OK 0526 PM CDT Wed Jun 26 2024 Areas affected...middle and eastern Tennessee into southern Kentucky Concerning...Severe potential...Watch unlikely Valid 262226Z - 262330Z Probability of Watch Issuance...20 percent SUMMARY...Locally strong wind gusts will be possible as a band of storms shifts northeastward across portions of Tennessee and into southern Kentucky. WW issuance may not be needed however, due to isolated nature of this risk. DISCUSSION...Latest radar loop shows and loosely organized, arcing band of storms moving across Middle Tennessee at this time -- in line with recent HRRR runs which depicted this band with reasonable accuracy. The storms are moving northeastward through an amply unstable environment, but with the flow in the lower to middle troposphere somewhat weak (generally less than 25 kt through the mid levels), storm organization/intensity should remain generally limited. With the storms producing a 35 kt gust when moving through Nashville, per the KBNA observation, this supports the assessment of the marginal nature of the risk. Overall, it appears at this time that potential for damaging winds should remain sufficiently isolated to preclude WW consideration. ..Goss/Smith.. 06/26/2024 ...Please see www.spc.noaa.gov for graphic product... ATTN...WFO...MRX...JKL...FFC...LMK...OHX...HUN...PAH... LAT...LON 34528677 35248659 36038689 36478781 36908685 37018493 36458432 35088518 34528677