Area Forecast Discussion
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
Issued by NWS Nashville, TN
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653 FXUS64 KOHX 171109 AFDOHX Area Forecast Discussion National Weather Service Nashville TN 609 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 ...New AVIATION... .SHORT TERM... (Today through Wednesday) Issued at 147 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Just a touch warmer currently than 24 hours ago. Temperatures across the mid state are holding in the 70s at this time. Skies are mostly clear. The upper level area of higher pressure over the Carolinas will strengthen today. This will act to push the more active convection further westward. Thus, pops will still be in play but it will be notably less active. Following this, we will hang on to a southerly uniform flow. Some added mid and upper level cloudiness could end up prevailing on Tuesday and Wednesday. It should be virtually pop free however as the ridging begins to exhibit some westward extension. For the near term temps, it will still be a good distance above normal. However, those aforementioned clouds could prevent the mercury from reaching the mid to upper 90s range. Latest nbs numbers suggest lower to mid 90s for highs. Again, those clouds may keep our temps down a degree or two. Dewpoints should be in the mid to upper 60s so not too terrible. Overnight lows still look warm with 70-75F expected. && .LONG TERM... (Wednesday Night through next Monday) Issued at 147 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 In the extended forecast, the strong ridge will move from the mid Atlantic states westward through the mid/deep south from Thursday to Saturday. Following this, the ridge is expected to further suppress and weaken with a weak westerly regime returning by early next week. Perhaps a weak dissipating boundary may attempt to approach on Monday. Pops will reemerge, though very low. For the extended temps, its looking very hot for the Thursday through Saturday period with upper 90s expected. Temps may back down a degree or two following this as the ridge retreats just a touch. Overnight lows will remain persistant with lower to mid 70s for most areas. && .AVIATION... (12Z TAFS) Issued at 606 AM CDT Mon Jun 17 2024 Overall we are going to see VFR conditions through the TAF period. Scattered thunderstorms will be possible after 18z mainly to the west of I-65. IFR/LIFR will be possible in any thunderstorms due to heavy rain and low vis. The thunderstorm threat will diminish by 01z. Southerly winds up to 10 knots this afternoon. && .PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS... Nashville 94 75 94 73 / 30 10 0 0 Clarksville 91 73 91 71 / 40 20 10 0 Crossville 88 68 86 67 / 20 10 0 0 Columbia 92 72 92 71 / 30 10 0 0 Cookeville 90 72 89 69 / 20 10 0 0 Jamestown 90 70 88 68 / 20 10 0 0 Lawrenceburg 91 72 90 71 / 30 10 0 0 Murfreesboro 94 73 93 72 / 20 10 0 0 Waverly 90 72 91 72 / 40 30 10 0 && .OHX WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES... None. && $$ SHORT TERM...21 LONG TERM....21 AVIATION.....Mueller