333
FXUS64 KSHV 251126
AFDSHV

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Shreveport LA
626 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

...New AVIATION...

.SHORT TERM...
(Wednesday through Thursday)
Issued at 206 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Showers and thunderstorms will continue to work into the region
today, as longwave troughing and our second cold front continue to
work south. This trough is very progressive in nature, with rain
chances beginning to diminish by the afternoon hours. Once this cold
front finally clears the region, expect the rest of the short-term
to be very pleasant. Dry conditions should remain into the weekend,
with afternoon highs dropping to a much more seasonable feel. The
same can be said for overnight lows, with lows dropping into the
upper-50s to low-60s.

/44/

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday Night through Wednesday)
Issued at 206 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

Rain chances will return to the forecast by late Friday morning, as
moisture from now Tropical Storm Helene begins to wrap around the
closed low over the midwest. In turn, the best chances for organized
rain will be along and north of I-20, with dry conditions south.
However, as the low pressure continues to meander NE into the
weekend, then the rain chances will shift NE as well. By Sunday, dry
conditions will return area-wide, with limited rain chances
anticipated for the rest of the long-term. High temperatures will
begin to climb by Sunday as well, with highs returning to the mid to
upper-80s. However, overnight lows will continue to be quite
pleasant, as dry air keeps working into the region under north flow.
Overnight lows will likely continue to range in the mid-50s to mid-
60s.

/44/

&&

.AVIATION...
(12Z TAFS)
Issued at 623 AM CDT Wed Sep 25 2024

For the 25/12z TAF update...Radar imagery is showing fairly
widespread showers and thunderstorms moving through much of the
area, impacting in some way all of our terminals this morning. As
a result -RA, VCTS and lower ceilings currently prevail for most
of our terminals and will continue through the rest of the morning
hours before some improvement is seen by this afternoon/evening.
Winds have been gusty at times with thunderstorms moving through,
but it has been short lived for the most part. Showers and
thunderstorms should come to an end across the region by the end
of the period. /33/

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
SHV  82  63  83  63 /  50   0   0   0
MLU  83  62  83  62 /  40   0   0  10
DEQ  82  58  82  59 /  20   0   0  10
TXK  82  60  83  61 /  40   0   0  10
ELD  80  58  81  59 /  40   0   0  10
TYR  81  61  84  61 /  40   0   0   0
GGG  80  61  83  60 /  40   0   0   0
LFK  85  63  83  61 /  50  10   0   0

&&

.SHV WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AR...None.
LA...None.
OK...None.
TX...None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...44
LONG TERM....44
AVIATION...33