Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
Issued by NWS Tucson, AZ
032
FNUS55 KTWC 272104
FWFTWC
Fire Weather Planning Forecast for Southeast Arizona
National Weather Service Tucson AZ
204 PM MST Thu Jun 27 2024
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
20-FOOT WIND FORECAST OF `LIGHT WINDS` INDICATES MAINLY
TERRAIN DRIVEN WINDS
+++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++++
.DISCUSSION...Relatively deep moisture will stick around through
the forecast period. This will give isolated thunderstorms and
showers today and tomorrow, mainly south and east of Tucson.
Moisture will increase more through the weekend and into the new
week to bring higher chances and coverage for thunderstorms and
showers each day. Strong erratic gusty winds of 40 mph or higher
can be expected with any storm development, along with locally
brief heavy rainfall. Outside of thunderstorm winds, 20-foot
winds will generally be 15 mph or less each afternoon with the
occasional gust of 20 mph. Min RHs will generally be around 20% in
the valleys and 30s in the mountains with good overnight
recoveries.
AZZ150-281515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 150
Sonoran FDRA-Most of Pima County-South Central Pinal County-
Tohono O`odham Nation-Tucson Metropolitan area-TDC-
204 PM MST Thu Jun 27 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........75 to 85 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............43 to 53 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........98 to 108 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............19 to 29 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10597 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 13 to 17 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (180149 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........74 to 84 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............47 to 57 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West around 10 mph shifting to the east
after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Max Temperature..........100 to 110 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............17 to 27 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming west around 10 mph
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9061 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Southwest 9 knots shifting to the
northwest in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (81549 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 78 to 88. Highs 102 to 112. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
17 to 27 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 97 to 107. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
25 to 35 pct.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 76 to 86. Highs 98 to 108. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
25 to 35 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 75 to 85. Highs 95 to 105.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 74 to 84. Highs 96 to 106.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 150 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE TUCSON INTERNATIONAL AIRPORT
LOCATION (2550 MSL)
$$
AZZ151-281515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 151
Western half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southeast corner of Pinal County-
Extreme Eastern Pima County-Western third of Cochise County-
Santa Cruz County-TDC-
204 PM MST Thu Jun 27 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 15 mph shifting to the south
after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Southwest around 10 mph shifting to the
west in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10055 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 10 to 12 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (120660 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............60 to 70 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........North 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........93 to 103 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Light winds becoming northwest around 10
mph in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............9360 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 9 to 10 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (93600 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 70 to 80. Highs
94 to 104. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 24 to 34 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
32 to 42 pct.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 68 to 78. Highs
90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 33 to 43 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 87 to 97.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 67 to 77. Highs 88 to 98.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 151 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE BUENOS AIRES N.W.R. LOCATION
(3500 MSL)
$$
AZZ152-281515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 152
Eastern half Desert Grasslands FDRA including elevations up to
5500 feet in Southwest Graham County and Eastern two thirds of
Cochise County-Southern San Carlos Reservation-
Southern Greenlee County below 5000 feet-TDC-
204 PM MST Thu Jun 27 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........67 to 77 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West around 20 mph shifting to the
southwest after midnight.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........92 to 102 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 3 to 7 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10735 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 10 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (150290 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........69 to 79 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............54 to 64 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 5 to 9 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........94 to 104 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............17 to 27 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10954 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........Northwest 9 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (120494 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 70 to 80. Highs
93 to 103. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 22 to
32 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 67 to 77. Highs 89 to 99. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
30 to 40 pct.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 67 to 77. Highs
90 to 100. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 30 to 40 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 68 to 78. Highs 87 to 97.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 66 to 76. Highs 90 to 100.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 152 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE CHIRICAHUA N.M. LOCATION (5400 MSL)
$$
AZZ153-281515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 153
Northern Graham County-Northern Greenlee County-
White and Gila Mountains-Apache Sitgreaves NF-
Southern San Carlos Reservation above 5000 feet-SDC-
204 PM MST Thu Jun 27 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........60 to 70 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 15 to 20 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Slight chance of showers
and thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........82 to 92 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............22 to 32 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 8 to 12 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........West 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........20 pct.
* LAL......................2.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............10545 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 11 to 14 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (147630 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Max Humidity.............52 to 62 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 7 to 11 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest around 10 mph shifting to the
north after midnight.
* Chance of Precip.........10 pct.
* LAL......................1.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........85 to 95 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............21 to 31 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..North around 10 mph shifting to the west
in the afternoon.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East around 10 mph shifting to the
southeast in the afternoon.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............4 or low.
* Mixing Height............12388 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 11 knots shifting to the southwest
8 knots in the afternoon.
* Ventilation Category.....Very good (99104 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 64 to 74. Highs
83 to 93. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 27 to 37 pct.
.MONDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 62 to 72. Highs
78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 37 to 47 pct.
.TUESDAY...Thunderstorms likely and chance of showers. Lows 61 to
71. Highs 79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 36 to 46 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 61 to 71.
Highs 78 to 88.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 60 to 70. Highs 82 to 92.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 153 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE POINT OF PINES LOCATION (6040 MSL)
$$
AZZ154-281515-
Arizona Fire Weather Zone 154
Forest Woodlands FDRA including the Sky Islands of Southeast
Arizona above 5500 feet-Coronado NF-TDC-
204 PM MST Thu Jun 27 2024
.TONIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Mostly cloudy then becoming partly
cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........62 to 72 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............61 to 71 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 3 to 6 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.FRIDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........81 to 91 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Little change.
* Min Humidity.............30 to 40 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 2 to 5 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11697 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........West 9 to 13 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (128667 knot-ft).
.FRIDAY NIGHT...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy then becoming mostly
cloudy. Slight chance of showers and thunderstorms.
* Min Temperature..........64 to 74 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Max Humidity.............55 to 65 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 6 to 10 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..West 10 to 15 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........Northwest 10 to 15 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........30 pct.
* LAL......................3.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
.SATURDAY...
* Sky/Weather..............Partly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms.
* Max Temperature..........83 to 93 degs.
* 24 hr Trend...........Up 1 to 4 degs.
* Min Humidity.............25 to 35 pct.
* 24 hr Trend...........Down 4 to 8 pct.
* Wind (20 ft/10-min avg)..Northwest around 10 mph.
* 10000 ft MSL Wind........East 5 to 10 mph.
* Chance of Precip.........40 pct.
* LAL......................4.
* Haines Index.............3 or very low.
* Mixing Height............11318 ft agl.
* Transport Winds..........North 10 to 11 knots.
* Ventilation Category.....Excellent (118839 knot-ft).
.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
WINDS IN DAYS 3 THROUGH 5 ARE SURFACE 20 FT/10-MIN AVG
.SUNDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 66 to 76. Highs
82 to 92. East wind around 15 mph. Minimum Humidity 28 to 38 pct.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 78 to 88. Light winds. Minimum Humidity
38 to 48 pct.
.TUESDAY...Showers and thunderstorms likely. Lows 64 to 74. Highs
79 to 89. Light winds. Minimum Humidity 39 to 49 pct.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and thunderstorms.
Lows 63 to 73. Highs 76 to 86.
.INDEPENDENCE DAY...Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers and
thunderstorms. Lows 62 to 72. Highs 78 to 88.
NOTE TO USERS - ZONE 154 VENTILATION CATEGORY...MIXING HEIGHT AND
TRANSPORT WINDS ARE BASED ON THE AVERAGE ACROSS THE ZONE
$$
Visit us on Facebook...Twitter...YouTube...and at weather.gov/Tucson