200
FXUS65 KABQ 111750
AFDABQ

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
1050 AM MST Thu Dec 11 2025

...New SHORT TERM, LONG TERM, AVIATION, FIRE WEATHER...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Updated at 1050 AM MST Thu Dec 11 2025

- Dry and unseasonably mild weather will persist through at least
  the middle of next week across central and northern New Mexico.

- Breezy northwest winds along the central highlands of eastern
  New Mexico most days (outside of Friday and Sunday) will create
  some difficult crosswinds at times for large and high-profile
  vehicles.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This afternoon through Friday)
Issued at 1050 AM MST Thu Dec 11 2025

Another pleasant day across the Land of Enchantment with dry
northwest flow. Northwest winds are getting gusty across the central
highlands of Torrance and eastern Guadalupe County due to a tight
surface pressure gradient in the wake of a surface lee low over the
central and southern High Plains. Max wind gusts of around 40 to 45
mph in this zone. Temperatures across eastern NM today are warming
back up to well above average readings due to the downslope west
winds from this aforementioned surface lee low. Records will be
challenged or tied for most locations across the forecast area this
afternoon with highs 20 to as much as 25 degrees above average.
Highs across western and central NM will be around 15 degrees above
average and near daily records. Another weak backdoor front pushes
south across eastern NM late tonight into Friday morning. This will
cool highs across this part of the state around 10 to 15 degrees
compared to today but highs will still remain around 10 to 15
degrees above average for mid December. Similar temperatures to
today across western and central NM. Light southerly breezes will
develop across the northeast highlands Friday afternoon due to the
development of a surface trough in the lee of the Sangre de Cristo
Mountains.


&&

.LONG TERM...
(Friday night through next Wednesday)
Issued at 1050 AM MST Thu Dec 11 2025

Dry northwest flow remains over the state Saturday. Eastern NM warms
back up around 5 to 10 degrees compared to Friday on Saturday due to
another surface lee trough resulting in downslope west and northwest
winds across east central and southeast NM. Winds across the central
highlands and Torrance and eastern Guadalupe County will once again
become windy with max gusts of around 45 to 50 mph. Similar well
above average temperatures across western and central NM. A stronger
backdoor front, associated with an upper low moving across the
northern Great Lakes, moves through eastern NM Saturday evening into
Saturday night. Some gusty north winds behind this front with max
wind gusts of around 30 mph. The backdoor front squeezes through the
gaps of the central mountain chain late Saturday night into early
Sunday morning resulting in a light to at most moderate gap wind
across Santa Fe, eastern ABQ and Carrizozo. Max gap wind gusts of
around 25 to 30 mph at this time. The backdoor front cools
temperatures across central and especially eastern NM for Sunday.
Temperatures will be around 5 to 10 degrees cooler compared to
Saturday across central NM (still 5 to 10 degrees above average) and
around 15 to 20 degrees compared to Saturday across the eastern
plains (around average). No impact to temperatures across western NM
as the axis of an upper level ridge moves over the state.

A weak upper level trough moves through the desert SW Sunday night
through Tuesday morning with the only noticable feature during this
time being some mid to high level clouds over the state Sunday
afternoon through Monday night. Downsloping southwest winds warms
temperatures across eastern NM back up to around 10 to 15 degrees
above average on Monday. High temperatures will also be 10 to 15
degrees above average across western and central NM. Dry northwest
flow with high temperatures 15 to 20 degrees above average areawide
and some batches of high clouds in the wake of this weak trough mid
next week. Breezy to at times locally gusty northwest winds across
the central highlands during the daytime hours.

&&

.AVIATION...
(18Z TAFS)
Issued at 1050 AM MST Thu Dec 11 2025

VFR conditions continue. Mostly clear skies with some gusty
northwest winds across the central highlands, including KCQC, this
afternoon. Max gusts of around 30 kts. A weak backdoor front moves
through eastern NM this evening into early tomorrow morning
resulting in light north winds overnight at KTCC and KROW. Another
brisk north drainage wind at KSAF in the hours around sunrise Friday.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1050 AM MST Thu Dec 11 2025

Dry weather with no critical fire weather conditions through mid
next week. Very mild to warm through Saturday. A weak backdoor
cold front will push through eastern areas tonight resulting in
slightly cooler temperatures and higher humidity on Friday. Gusty
northwest winds across the central highlands this afternoon and
Saturday afternoon. Cooler across central and especially eastern
areas Sunday behind a stronger backdoor front Saturday night.
Temperatures warm up to well above normal readings Monday through
mid next week. Breezy to gusty northwest winds across the central
highlands during the day mid next week. Ventilation generally
poor, expect for some locally fair to good ventilation across the
eastern and San Augustin plains Saturday and Wednesday afternoon.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  28  53  25  54 /   0   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  21  57  18  56 /   0   0   0   0
Cuba............................  27  55  25  55 /   0   0   0   0
Gallup..........................  21  61  16  62 /   0   0   0   0
El Morro........................  27  61  24  60 /   0   0   0   0
Grants..........................  22  62  17  63 /   0   0   0   0
Quemado.........................  27  62  27  62 /   0   0   0   0
Magdalena.......................  35  61  34  66 /   0   0   0   0
Datil...........................  28  62  29  63 /   0   0   0   0
Reserve.........................  25  70  29  70 /   0   0   0   0
Glenwood........................  33  73  35  72 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................  24  54  19  54 /   0   0   0   0
Los Alamos......................  34  57  30  58 /   0   0   0   0
Pecos...........................  34  57  33  63 /   0   0   0   0
Cerro/Questa....................  30  56  25  55 /   0   0   0   0
Red River.......................  28  49  26  49 /   0   0   0   0
Angel Fire......................  16  54  19  55 /   0   0   0   0
Taos............................  18  58  18  57 /   0   0   0   0
Mora............................  33  61  31  64 /   0   0   0   0
Espanola........................  28  61  26  61 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe........................  36  57  33  58 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe Airport................  31  58  29  59 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  39  61  37  60 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  35  63  33  63 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  34  65  31  65 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  35  63  31  63 /   0   0   0   0
Belen...........................  28  63  24  62 /   0   0   0   0
Bernalillo......................  34  63  31  63 /   0   0   0   0
Bosque Farms....................  30  64  27  63 /   0   0   0   0
Corrales........................  34  63  31  63 /   0   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  30  64  26  63 /   0   0   0   0
Placitas........................  36  61  35  60 /   0   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  34  62  30  62 /   0   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  36  65  33  67 /   0   0   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  36  58  34  56 /   0   0   0   0
Tijeras.........................  35  60  34  58 /   0   0   0   0
Edgewood........................  32  60  30  59 /   0   0   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  25  61  22  60 /   0   0   0   0
Clines Corners..................  32  57  31  57 /   0   0   0   0
Mountainair.....................  32  61  32  60 /   0   0   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  32  62  31  61 /   0   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  37  66  38  65 /   0   0   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  39  61  39  62 /   0   0   0   0
Capulin.........................  33  59  29  63 /   0   0   0   0
Raton...........................  29  62  26  66 /   0   0   0   0
Springer........................  27  66  25  68 /   0   0   0   0
Las Vegas.......................  33  60  31  65 /   0   0   0   0
Clayton.........................  38  60  34  67 /   0   0   0   0
Roy.............................  32  61  28  68 /   0   0   0   0
Conchas.........................  33  67  28  71 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  34  65  35  71 /   0   0   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  33  67  33  69 /   0   0   0   0
Clovis..........................  39  65  35  70 /   0   0   0   0
Portales........................  37  66  34  72 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Sumner.....................  36  67  30  74 /   0   0   0   0
Roswell.........................  39  70  33  73 /   0   0   0   0
Picacho.........................  42  66  36  74 /   0   0   0   0
Elk.............................  40  64  34  73 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...71
LONG TERM....71
AVIATION...71