257
FXUS65 KABQ 032322 AAA
AFDABQ

Area Forecast Discussion...UPDATED
National Weather Service Albuquerque NM
422 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

...New AVIATION...

.KEY MESSAGES...
Issued at 408 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

- Many rivers across northwestern and north central New Mexico
  have peaked and will continue to fall below bankfull stages
  through Wednesday and Thursday.

- Minor winter travel impacts will skirt the Colorado border
  Wednesday night into Thursday morning, favoring Raton Pass.

- Drier conditions will persist for the remainder of the region
  through the rest of this week.

&&

.SHORT TERM...
(This evening through Wednesday night)
Issued at 1250 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

High clouds are spreading east into NM this afternoon on a 100kt
upper level speed max approaching from SoCal. These clouds will pass
overhead tonight then clear from northwest to southeast Wednesday
morning. Enough clearing over northern valleys tonight may allow
patchy fog to develop in areas with saturated soils. The latest
NBM visibility probs for <3 miles is only 10-20% and the REFS low
cloud cover field shows several low cloud patches.

Wednesday will feature stronger west to northwest winds as the base
of a 560dm H5 low passes thru CO. Winds of 15-25 mph with gusts up
to 35 mph will be common but with partly to mostly sunny skies and
comfortable high temps in the 50s and 60s. NBM wind gust probs >35
mph are 40 to 60% around much of the high terrain. There are low
chances of showers and high terrain snow over the far northern mts
by late Wednesday afternoon. Snow levels will hover near 9,500 feet.
A backdoor cold front entering northeast NM on Wednesday night will
help force low level convergence along the Raton Ridge and produce
a brief period of snow. Minor impacts from snow, breezy winds, and
low visibility are possible early Thursday morning along I-25 at
Raton Pass and perhaps parts of U.S. 64 toward Capulin. The 12Z
REFS shows mean snowfall amounts of 1-2" with 90th percentile
amounts of 2-3".

&&

.LONG TERM...
(Thursday through Monday)
Issued at 1250 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

Breezy north winds will develop over eastern NM Thursday afternoon
in the wake of the backdoor cold front. The strongest forcing will
be in the morning then winds will relax thru the afternoon. NBM wind
gusts probs >35 mph are just 20 to 40% at this time.

The rest of the week is expected to be tranquil with periods of high
cloud cover. Max temps will be within +/-5F of normal while low
temps hover 5-10F above normal. No significant winds are expected
and min humidity will trend gradually lower each day thru Sunday.

&&

.AVIATION...
(00Z TAFS)
Issued at 408 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

VFR prevails tonight with broken high ceilings streaming across
the state. There is a low chance for isolated patchy fog along the
northwestern highlands and northeastern highlands early Wednesday
morning from KRTN to KLVS. Chances were too low to include at any
TAF terminal however. Westerly to southwesterly winds pick up only
the slightest Wednesday afternoon to around 8 to 12 kts most
areas.

&&

.FIRE WEATHER...
Issued at 1250 PM MST Tue Nov 3 2026

There is no critical fire weather for the foreseeable future. Soil
moisture remains elevated across much of the region and ERC values
are below the 50th percentile. A weak system will slide east along
the CO/NM border Wednesday night and Thursday morning with a few
light rain showers and high terrain snow. The rest of the area will
remain tranquil thru the end of the week. Wednesday will have the
best ventilation of the week with poor/fair values on other days.

&&

.PRELIMINARY POINT TEMPS/POPS...
Farmington......................  36  59  34  55 /   0   0   0   0
Dulce...........................  24  57  24  58 /   0   5   5   0
Cuba............................  32  56  30  54 /   0   0   0   0
Gallup..........................  29  58  26  57 /   0   0   0   0
El Morro........................  30  57  26  57 /   0   0   0   0
Grants..........................  32  60  28  57 /   0   0   0   0
Quemado.........................  31  62  28  59 /   0   0   0   0
Magdalena.......................  36  65  35  57 /   0   0   0   0
Datil...........................  32  61  30  56 /   0   0   0   0
Reserve.........................  31  64  29  64 /   0   0   0   0
Glenwood........................  36  68  34  68 /   0   0   0   0
Chama...........................  26  51  25  51 /   0  10   5   0
Los Alamos......................  34  55  31  53 /   0   0   0   0
Pecos...........................  30  58  30  56 /   0   0   0   0
Cerro/Questa....................  32  54  30  52 /   0   0  10   0
Red River.......................  19  49  18  49 /   0   5  20   0
Angel Fire......................  15  51  15  51 /   0   0  10   0
Taos............................  24  56  24  54 /   0   0  10   0
Mora............................  26  59  28  54 /   0   0   5   0
Espanola........................  32  62  31  60 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe........................  34  57  33  55 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Fe Airport................  32  58  30  57 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Foothills...........  39  62  35  60 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Heights.............  37  64  36  61 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque Valley..............  37  66  35  63 /   0   0   0   0
Albuquerque West Mesa...........  39  63  38  60 /   0   0   0   0
Belen...........................  36  66  34  62 /   0   0   0   0
Bernalillo......................  37  65  35  62 /   0   0   0   0
Bosque Farms....................  35  66  32  62 /   0   0   0   0
Corrales........................  37  65  36  62 /   0   0   0   0
Los Lunas.......................  36  66  34  62 /   0   0   0   0
Placitas........................  37  62  34  59 /   0   0   0   0
Rio Rancho......................  39  63  37  61 /   0   0   0   0
Socorro.........................  40  69  40  63 /   0   0   0   0
Sandia Park/Cedar Crest.........  34  58  31  55 /   0   0   0   0
Tijeras.........................  33  62  32  58 /   0   0   0   0
Edgewood........................  28  61  30  57 /   0   0   0   0
Moriarty/Estancia...............  25  63  28  59 /   0   0   0   0
Clines Corners..................  34  58  33  53 /   0   0   0   0
Mountainair.....................  32  60  31  57 /   0   0   0   0
Gran Quivira....................  33  60  33  57 /   0   0   0   0
Carrizozo.......................  39  64  41  62 /   0   0   0   0
Ruidoso.........................  35  61  36  56 /   0   0   0   0
Capulin.........................  29  55  30  49 /   0   0  40   5
Raton...........................  27  59  30  55 /   0   0  20   0
Springer........................  27  63  31  56 /   0   0   5   0
Las Vegas.......................  30  59  31  55 /   0   0   0   0
Clayton.........................  35  60  40  56 /   0   0  10   5
Roy.............................  33  59  35  56 /   0   0   0   0
Conchas.........................  39  66  41  62 /   0   0   0   0
Santa Rosa......................  39  65  41  59 /   0   0   0   0
Tucumcari.......................  38  66  43  61 /   0   0   0   0
Clovis..........................  42  67  45  61 /   0   0   0   0
Portales........................  40  68  45  61 /   0   0   0   0
Fort Sumner.....................  40  64  44  62 /   0   0   0   0
Roswell.........................  42  67  47  60 /   0   0   0   0
Picacho.........................  38  71  42  60 /   0   0   0   0
Elk.............................  35  72  39  61 /   0   0   0   0

&&

.ABQ WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
None.
&&

$$

SHORT TERM...42
LONG TERM....42
AVIATION...24