310
FNUS73 KABR 132103
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Buffalo County in general...SD State Emergency Management
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
403 PM CDT Sun Jul 13 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1600 CDT on July 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...This forecast is for Buffalo County in general, but
is representative for the southeastern corner of Buffalo County
where the wildfire is likely ongoing. If you have any questions
about this forecast, please give us a call back on the phone or
via state radio.

Gusty winds out of the northwest will diminish to 10 mph or less
by 8 PM this evening. Winds will shift out of a southerly
direction around 4 AM Monday and remain out of the south during
the daytime hours. There is a 20% chance of showers and
thunderstorms late Monday evening into Tuesday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 93.
Min humidity........23 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 13 to 14 mph with gusts to
                    around 28 mph.
Mixing height.......8200-8900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 17 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (131400 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........34  27
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0
Temp............92  92
RH..............23  23
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..13  14
20 FT wind gust.26  28
Mix hgt (kft)...8.9 8.2
Smoke Dispersal.VGD VGD

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 63.
Max humidity........87 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 10 to 14 mph with gusts to around
                    26 mph shifting to the southeast around 6 mph
                    early in the morning.
Mixing height.......300-7100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 12 to 18 mph shifting to the east around
                    9 mph early in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Very good (108300 knot-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to fair (50800 knot-ft) late in the
                    night decreasing to poor (2700 knot-ft) in the
                    late evening and overnight.

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........16  11  4   5   7   5   3   4   5   3   6   5
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............91  89  86  81  75  72  71  69  69  66  65  64
RH..............24  28  36  46  54  59  61  66  68  75  78  81
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..14  13  10  10  9   8   7   7   7   6   6   6
20 FT wind gust.26  22  15  15  13  12  10  10  10  9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...6.8 7.1 3.9 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.3 0.3 0.3
Smoke Dispersal.VGD GD  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (0-10 percent).
CWR.................1 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of lightning.0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 98.
Min humidity........27 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 15 mph shifting to the
                    south 17 to 18 mph late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......300-6900 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southeast 8 to 12 mph shifting to the south 13
                    to 18 mph in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (91700 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to very good (108400
                    knot-ft) late in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........7   12  6   8   4   3   2   3   3   3   3   4
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............63  63  68  75  81  84  88  91  94  96  97  98
RH..............87  87  78  64  51  46  39  33  29  28  28  27
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..6   6   7   8   10  12  13  14  14  15  17  18
20 FT wind gust.9   9   10  13  15  17  18  20  21  22  24  25
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.3 0.4 1.0 1.5 2.5 3.5 4.4 5.4 6.1 6.8 6.9
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  VGD VGD

$$
Forecaster...KF
Requested by...Hand County EM
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517921.0/ABR
.DELDT 07/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL emergencymanager@handcountysd.gov