653
FNUS73 KABR 140149
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Test...NWS
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
849 PM CDT Fri Jun 13 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 2200 MDT on June 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Winds look to be from the east through tonight and Saturday over
the burn site. There is a slight chance (20 percent) for showers
through the overnight hours, with a 40 percent chance for 0.10in
of rain and only a 10 percent chance for 0.25in or higher.


.REST OF TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers overnight. Slight chance of
                    thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................7 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of lightning.24 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 12 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms overnight.
Mixing height.......600-1200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 14 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (7000 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM
Sky (%).........63  65  78  92  90  91  91
Weather cov.....    SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....    RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........        SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH
Chc of pcpn (%).10  20  20  20  20  20  20
Chc of ltng (%).10  10  20  20  20  20  20
Temp............60  60  60  59  58  57  57
RH..............93  90  90  93  93  96  96
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..15  13  13  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.18  18  18  16  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 0.6 0.6 1.0 0.9 1.2 0.7
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Slight chance of showers
                    and thunderstorms in the morning, then chance
                    of showers and thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................7 percent.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Chance of lightning.28 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........58 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 12 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
expected near thunderstorms mainly in the
afternoon.
Mixing height.......500-3100 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 12 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (5500 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      5AM 6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM
Sky (%).........98  98  97  93  93  93  92  78  65  58  50  52
Weather cov.....SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC SCH SCH SCH CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........SCH                         SCH SCH SCH SCH CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20  20  20  20  20  20  20  30  20  20  20  30
Chc of ltng (%).20  10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20  30
Temp............57  57  58  60  64  67  70  73  78  80  82  83
RH..............100 100 100 96  90  81  76  73  64  62  58  59
20 FT wind dir..NE  E   E   E   SE  E   E   E   SE  E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..12  13  13  13  14  14  14  14  14  14  15  15
20 FT wind gust.16  16  17  18  18  20  21  22  22  22  22  23
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.5 0.8 1.2 1.3 1.7 1.9 2.4 2.6 2.9 3.1 2.9
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Showers likely
                    and chance of thunderstorms.
CWR.................8 percent.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Chance of lightning.28 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 62.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 15 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......500-2500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 9 to 15 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4300 knot-ft).

TIME (MDT)      5 PM   7 PM   9 PM   11 PM  1 AM   3 AM
Sky (%).........54     60     68     75     81     84
Weather cov.....CHANCE LIKELY LIKELY LIKELY S CHC  S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR RNSHWR
Tstm cov........CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE CHANCE S CHC  S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).50     60     60     60     20     20
Chc of ltng (%).30     20     20     20     20     20
Temp............81     78     71     68     65     63
RH..............63     69     84     87     97     100
20 ft wind......E 15   E 13   E 12   NE 10  NE 9   E 8
20 ft wind gust.22     18     16     15     13     12
Mix hgt (ft)....2400   1400   500    700    800    600
Smoke Dispersal.POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR   POOR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (65-75 percent). Slight chance of
                    showers and thunderstorms early in the morning.
CWR.................5 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Chance of lightning.20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 85.
Min humidity........53 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northeast winds 7 to 12 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms through 5 AM.
Mixing height.......600-4200 ft agl.
Transport winds.....East 8 to 12 mph shifting to the southeast
                    around 12 mph late in the afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4800 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (42300 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (MDT)      5 AM      8 AM      11 AM     2 PM
Sky (%).........87        77        58        50
Weather cov.....S CHC
Weather type....RNSHWR    NONE      NONE      NONE
Tstm cov........S CHC
Chc of pcpn (%).20        10        10        10
Chc of ltng (%).20        10        10        10
Temp............64        68        75        82
RH..............97        87        74        58
20 FT wind......NE 7G12   NE 7G12   NE 9G15   E 12G18
Mix hgt (ft)....600       900       1800      3400
Smoke Dispersal.POOR      POOR      POOR      POOR

$$
Forecaster...Vernon
Requested by...Natalie Vernon
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2515952.0/ABR
.DELDT 06/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL natalie.vernon@noaa.gov