630
FNUS73 KABR 081005
FWSABR

Spot Forecast for Jesson WPA...USFWS
National Weather Service Aberdeen SD
505 AM CDT Fri May 8 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0600 CDT on May 08.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...Winds shift to the northwest by noon and increase
with gusts up to 35 mph. Minimum RH will hover near 20 percent, so
cannot rule out wind and RH conditions meeting Red Flag Warning
criteria for an hour or two before winds diminish late this
afternoon.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (35-45 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (5-15 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of lightning.1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 9 mph shifting to the west
                    9 to 12 mph late in the morning, then shifting
                    to the northwest 13 to 22 mph late in the
                    morning increasing to around 23 mph late in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......400-9300 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Southwest 10 to 13 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 14 to 22 mph late in the morning,
                    then increasing to 25 to 28 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (3300 knot-ft) increasing to excellent
                    (200900 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........52  41  23  3   8   10  15  17  10  3   9   15
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............37  38  43  48  58  63  67  70  71  71  72  73
RH..............63  64  57  51  39  29  25  25  29  29  22  20
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  SW  W   NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW  NW
20 FT wind spd..6   7   9   9   12  13  16  20  21  22  23  23
20 FT wind gust.9   12  14  15  17  21  24  29  31  32  33  32
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.9 1.4 4.8 7.8 9.1 9.3 9.3 9.3 9.2
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  GD  VGD EXL EXL EXL EXL EXL

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Chance of lightning.5 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 43.
Max humidity........82 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Northwest winds 12 to 21 mph shifting to the
                    west 7 to 8 mph late in the evening, then
                    shifting to the southwest 8 to 10 mph late in
                    the evening shifting to the north around 10 mph
                    after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400-8600 ft agl.
Transport winds.....Northwest 23 to 26 mph decreasing to 9 to 13
                    mph early in the evening, then shifting to the
                    west 8 to 14 mph in the late evening and
                    overnight shifting to the north after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Excellent (198100 knot-ft) decreasing to poor
                    (2900 knot-ft).

TIME (CDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........10  15  28  26  29  23  40  64  87  74  88  74
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  10  0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............72  71  67  57  54  52  51  50  49  48  46  45
RH..............21  26  30  45  50  54  54  58  61  65  71  76
20 FT wind dir..NW  NW  NW  NW  W   SW  SW  SW  W   NW  N   N
20 FT wind spd..21  16  12  8   7   8   9   10  10  10  10  10
20 FT wind gust.30  25  17  13  10  12  14  15  16  16  17  17
Mix hgt (kft)...8.6 7.0 0.8 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.6 0.6 0.7
Smoke Dispersal.EXL VGD PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Chance of lightning.1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 64.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........North winds 12 to 17 mph.
Mixing height.......700-7500 ft agl.
Transport winds.....North 13 to 18 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (8100 knot-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (46000 knot-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to good (95300 knot-ft)
                    early in the morning increasing to very good
                    (111900 knot-ft) in the afternoon.

TIME (CDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........53  53  52  54  69  60  54  50  54  60  73  82
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of ltng (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............44  43  45  48  53  55  58  61  62  62  63  63
RH..............79  82  76  71  57  51  44  36  35  34  31  30
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
20 FT wind spd..12  14  15  16  16  16  16  16  17  16  16  16
20 FT wind gust.18  21  22  23  23  23  24  25  25  25  24  24
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.8 1.7 2.3 3.1 3.7 4.5 5.0 6.0 6.5 6.4 7.5
Smoke Dispersal.PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  FR  GD  GD  GD  VGD GD  VGD

$$
Forecaster...Wise
Requested by...Jade Drause
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2612796.0/ABR
.DELDT 05/08/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jade_drause@fws.gov