Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
166
FNAK51 PAFC 051218
FWFAER
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
418 AM AKDT Fri Sep 5 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Daytime highs this afternoon will be noticeably cooler than
yesterday as a front moves from west to east today. Scattered
showers will accompany the front and while there is some
atmospheric instability, chances for isolated thunderstorms will
likely be inhibited due to cloud cover. However, if enough
clearing occurs early enough in the day Friday, a lightning strike
or two is possible. Chances for showers continues for Saturday,
though gusty southerly winds through terrain gaps and the Copper
River Valley could bring relatively drier RH to localized areas.
AKZ741-060300-
NORTHERN COPPER VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PAXSON
418 AM AKDT Fri Sep 5 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 59-63 (-13) 42-44 (-3) 59-63
RH % (24H TREND) 56-63 (+27) 96-98 (0) 45-54
20FTWND(MPH) NW 1-5 LGT/VAR S 4-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2938 4258
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 6 S 14
CWR 30 0 0
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 16116 67776
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ742-060300-
WESTERN COPPER VALLEY-
INCLUDING...NELCHINA...TOLSONA...MENDELTNA
418 AM AKDT Fri Sep 5 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 58-63 (-11) 43-45 (-3) 58-63
RH % (24H TREND) 53-61 (+26) 84-94 (0) 35-49
20FTWND(MPH) NW 1-5 LGT/VAR S 4-13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3000 5386
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 5 S 15
CWR 20 0 0
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 17164 91800
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
AKZ743-060300-
CENTRAL COPPER VALLEY-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...GAKONA...COPPER CENTER
418 AM AKDT Fri Sep 5 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 30 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 63-65 (-12) 44-45 (-3) 63-66
RH % (24H TREND) 57-64 (+33) 90-95 (0) 33-40
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 7-17 G29
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2486 5620
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 6 S 21
CWR 40 0 0
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 19545 111993
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
AKZ744-060300-
ERNESTINE-
INCLUDING...TONSINA...46 MILE
418 AM AKDT Fri Sep 5 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 40 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 60-67 (-7) 44-46 (-3) 57-64
RH % (24H TREND) 50-63 (+19) 86-93 (0) 42-61
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR SE 2-5 S 7-12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2762 4148
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 6 S 16
CWR 40 0 0
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 17189 67524
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
AKZ749-060300-
SOUTHERN COPPER VALLEY-
INCLUDING...KENNY LAKE...CHITINA
418 AM AKDT Fri Sep 5 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 40 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 62-67 (-9) 44-47 (-2) 61-67
RH % (24H TREND) 56-66 (+26) 87-94 (0) 38-51
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR SE 6-15 G28
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2590 4939
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 5 S 14
CWR 40 10 0
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 19507 77598
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
AKZ750-060300-
TOK CUTOFF-
INCLUDING...CHISTOCHINA...SLANA...MENTASTA LAKE...NABESNA
418 AM AKDT Fri Sep 5 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 50 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 60-64 (-13) 42-44 (-4) 60-64
RH % (24H TREND) 47-58 (+24) 83-97 (0) 35-46
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR W 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3319 5333
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)W 10 SW 12
CWR 40 0 0
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 31722 95562
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ751-060300-
MCCARTHY-
INCLUDING...MCCARTHY
418 AM AKDT Fri Sep 5 2025
TODAY TONIGHT SAT
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 60-67 (-9) 43-46 (-3) 59-67
RH % (24H TREND) 54-67 (+19) 86-95 (0) 47-60
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR S 1-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2932 3966
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)SW 6 S 8
CWR 30 10 0
TSTM COVERAGE NONE NONE NONE
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35061 59280
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SUNDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.MONDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$