Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
280
FNAK51 PAFC 212332
FWFAER
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
332 PM AKDT Fri Jun 21 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A Red Flag Warning for hot, dry, and windy conditions is in effect
Saturday for the northern Copper River Basin and northern Susitna
Valley. A trough developing along the north Gulf coast tomorrow will
bring in some gusty northerly winds tomorrow which will also keep
conditions dry over the region. The one big caveat is that the atmosphere
remains generally unstable and this will bring in some wet thunderstorms
on a diurnal basis over parts of Southcentral from this afternoon
through Sunday evening.
AKZ101-221700-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
332 PM AKDT Fri Jun 21 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 40 40 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (+5) 73 (+8) 52 64-72
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (-1) 45-53 (-4) 87 44-63
20FTWND(MPH) NW 2-6 NW 4-7 N 2-7 NW 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4224 4014
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 8 S 7
CWR 10 10 10 10
LAL 1 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30876 26628
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 30 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (+6) 78 (+4) 55 75
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (-1) 41-49 (-1) 90 50-56
20FTWND(MPH) W 1-7 W 3-7 W 1-7 W 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4319 3961
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 6 S 7
CWR 0 10 10 10
LAL 1 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 28852 28544
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ111-221700-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
332 PM AKDT Fri Jun 21 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 60 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 43-49 (+4) 66-72 (+7) 51 63-70
RH % (24H TREND) 80-87 (-3) 42-51 (-8) 78-85 48-57
20FTWND(MPH) NW 2-5 N 4-9 NW 2-5 N 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4908 6080
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 8 SW 6
CWR 10 10 10 10
LAL 2 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 53472 40957
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 50 50 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (+6) 75-81 (+5) 53 76
RH % (24H TREND) 89 (0) 35-47 (-3) 86-92 45-52
20FTWND(MPH) SW 2-7 W 4-7 SW 2-7 W 1-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5358 6239
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 7 SW 6
CWR 10 10 10 10
LAL 2 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 51377 48800
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 50S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE
UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ121-221700-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
332 PM AKDT Fri Jun 21 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 30 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (+3) 70-78 (+7) 52 68-75
RH % (24H TREND) 83-90 (+1) 34-41 (-8) 81-88 43-51
20FTWND(MPH) W 2-6 NW 4-7 W 3-5 NW 3-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6037 5143
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 8 W 6
CWR 0 10 10 10
LAL 1 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 50433 34400
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (+4) 67-73 (+5) 53 70
RH % (24H TREND) 82-91 (0) 38-51 (-6) 80-89 52-60
20FTWND(MPH) SW 3-8 NW 3-8 SW 2-7 W 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4593 3211
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 8 SW 8
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 36283 25688
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ125-221700-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
332 PM AKDT Fri Jun 21 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 40 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (+4) 61-73 (+5) 51 60-72
RH % (24H TREND) 73-86 (-9) 35-49 (-5) 77-86 44-58
20FTWND(MPH) W 1-7 NW 1-5 SW 1-5 LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4512 4971
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NW 6 S 7
CWR 0 10 10 10
LAL 1 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 29856 28170
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHWRS SHWRS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 30 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 45-53 (+5) 59-67 (+5) 51 55-64
RH % (24H TREND) 75-87 (-14) 30-55 (-19) 81-91 53-78
20FTWND(MPH) W 1-11 W 2-6 SW 1-7 S 0-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2152 3188
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 6 SE 6
CWR 0 0 10 10
LAL 1 1 1 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 11394 19128
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS
AROUND 60. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ141-221700-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
332 PM AKDT Fri Jun 21 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY
FOR HOT DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS FOR NORTHERN COPPER RIVER BASIN...
.ABOVE 2500 FT...
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 60 60 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 36-45 (+1) 52-70 (+6) 40-48 49-67
RH % (24H TREND) 72-81 (-3) 24-45 (-17) 69-78 27-59
20FTWND(MPH) N 2-12 NE 4-13 NE 3-13 NE 2-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6908 9551
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 9 NE 7
CWR 10 10 10 10
LAL 2 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 84359 67510
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 2500 FT...
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (-1) 77 (+4) 52 76
RH % (24H TREND) 72-78 (+1) 25 (-8) 65-77 24-31
20FTWND(MPH) N 4-9 NE 5-14 G23 NE 4-12 G22 NE 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7489 9863
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 13 NE 6
CWR 10 10 10 10
LAL 2 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 99078 66320
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ145-221700-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
332 PM AKDT Fri Jun 21 2024
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 1 PM TO 10 PM AKDT SATURDAY
FOR HOT DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS FOR NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY...
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 20 30 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 45-51 (+5) 68-75 (+7) 51 65-73
RH % (24H TREND) 69-77 (-12) 24-33 (-21) 63-71 28-41
20FTWND(MPH) NE 2-12 N 5-16 NE 6-16 N 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7568 8421
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 NE 6
CWR 20 10 10 10
LAL 3 2 2 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 86668 66609
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT SAT SAT NIGHT SUN
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHWRS NONE TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 20 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (+7) 82 (+7) 54 79
RH % (24H TREND) 72-85 (-6) 20-27 (-14) 70-82 31-41
20FTWND(MPH) NE 2-7 N 3-11 NE 4-11 G19 LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 8492 8867
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 7-12 G18 NE 5
CWR 20 0 0 10
LAL 2 1 1 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 94109 51804
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS AND ISOLATED
THUNDERSTORMS. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTH
WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$