Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
470
FNAK51 PAFC 170018
FWFAER
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
418 PM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.DISCUSSION...
Limited thunderstorm activity is expected across the Copper River
Basin this afternoon and evening with high pressure aloft, though
a surprising amount of cu clouds are noted on satellite. Thus, a
few wet thunderstorms may break the cap this evening with isolated
lightning possible. The greater threat for thunderstorms remains
from along the Talkeetnas, westward, into the Susitna Valley, with
a diminishing threat for thunderstorms Monday into Tuesday across
Southcentral. Up-inlet flow has brought areas of fog into the
Western Kenai Peninsula coast, which has kept temperatures in the
50s and 60s. Winds are calm across the region and should remain so
the next couple of days.
AKZ101-171815-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
418 PM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (+2) 66 (-3) 49 55-65
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (-15) 42-57 (+9) 79-86 42-64
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR W 3-5 LGT/VAR W 2-5
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3006 3858
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 8 SW 10
CWR 10 0 0 0
LAL 2 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 20449 34722
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 53 (+3) 71 (-2) 52 68
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-5) 49-56 (+5) 79-85 52
20FTWND(MPH) W 1-7 W 4-8 W 1-5 W 5-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2677 3417
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 8 SW 9
CWR 10 0 0 0
LAL 2 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 18488 29240
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ111-171815-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
418 PM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 20 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (0) 67 (-3) 48 57-63
RH % (24H TREND) 70-78 (-1) 46-55 (+11) 76-83 48-57
20FTWND(MPH) W 2-6 W 3-7 W 1-8 SW 2-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3459 3851
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 7 SW 9
CWR 10 0 0 0
LAL 3 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25395 32436
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 20 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (+4) 73 (-3) 51 70
RH % (24H TREND) 83 (-7) 45-52 (+4) 83 49
20FTWND(MPH) SW 3-8 SW 4-8 SW 3-8 SW 4-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3549 3841
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 8 SW 9
CWR 10 0 0 0
LAL 2 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 29984 42251
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ121-171815-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
418 PM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 30 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (+3) 67-73 (-4) 48 62-68
RH % (24H TREND) 75-86 (-9) 40-47 (+5) 76-85 39-47
20FTWND(MPH) W 1-6 W 3-7 W 2-7 W 3-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4520 5329
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 7 SW 10
CWR 10 10 10 0
LAL 2 2 2 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 30321 63322
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (-1) 61-67 (-3) 47 63
RH % (24H TREND) 80-88 (-2) 51-60 (+2) 76-82 46-55
20FTWND(MPH) SW 6-11 SW 4-11 SW 4-12 SW 6-14
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3170 4671
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 10 SW 13
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25936 51857
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN THE MID
60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ125-171815-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
418 PM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 30 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 48 (+1) 57-70 (-2) 47 55-68
RH % (24H TREND) 74-85 (-3) 38-53 (+2) 78-86 38-56
20FTWND(MPH) LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR LGT/VAR
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4157 4956
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 7 S 9
CWR 10 10 10 0
LAL 2 2 2 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 24614 43794
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (+2) 55-62 (0) 42-48 51-59
RH % (24H TREND) 81-96 (0) 51-76 (+1) 85-95 50-74
20FTWND(MPH) SW 0-5 SW 1-6 SW 1-7 S 2-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1893 2981
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 7 S 8
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 10625 24343
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
MID 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 50S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ141-171815-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
418 PM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.ABOVE 2500 FT...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 50 40 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 39-46 (0) 52-69 (-1) 37-45 48-66
RH % (24H TREND) 53-67 (-7) 30-45 (+8) 72-82 34-53
20FTWND(MPH) W 1-6 SW 2-8 SW 2-8 SW 2-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6841 8272
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) W 7 SW 10
CWR 0 10 0 10
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 60947 96720
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 2500 FT...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 30 30 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (+4) 78 (-1) 50 76
RH % (24H TREND) 62-71 (-5) 33 (+9) 81 31
20FTWND(MPH) SW 1-5 SW 3-7 SW 1-7 S 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 7582 9536
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 8 S 10
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 62844 105888
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ145-171815-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
418 PM AKDT Sun Jun 16 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 50 40 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 50 (0) 64-70 (-3) 48 59-67
RH % (24H TREND) 77 (+7) 36-49 (+8) 76-82 40-53
20FTWND(MPH) W 3-7 SW 5-11 SW 5-11 SW 5-10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5395 6564
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 SW 12
CWR 10 10 10 10
LAL 3 2 2 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 54175 76080
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS NONE TSTMS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 30 20 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 52 (0) 75 (-3) 50 69
RH % (24H TREND) 79-85 (0) 39-46 (+3) 79-85 37-43
20FTWND(MPH) S 3-8 S 4-9 S 6-10 S 5-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 6262 5651
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 S 13
CWR 10 0 10 0
LAL 3 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 53523 67140
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE MID
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$