Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS

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527
FNAK51 PAFC 222208
FWFAER

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
208 PM AKDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.DISCUSSION...
A Red Flag Warning remains in effect until 10 PM this evening
for the northern Susitna Valley and northern Copper River Basin.
The northerly winds should diminish tonight and general southerly
winds should be over the region by Monday. Wet thunderstorms,
mainly over higher elevations as possible each afternoon and evening.

AKZ101-231700-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
208 PM AKDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           50           40           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   51 (+2)      68-74 (0)    50           62-70
RH % (24H TREND)   83-91 (+6)   49-60 (+14)  90           50-71
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 1-6       W 2-5        S 2-6        W 3-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3990                      3701
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S  5                      SW  8
CWR                10           10           10           10
LAL                2            2            2            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               23494                     26032

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           40           40           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   54 (+3)      73-79 (0)    53           72
RH % (24H TREND)   88 (+3)      46-55 (+11)  82-88        56-63
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 1-7       W 3-5        SW 1-8       W 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4034                      3654
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             S  6                      SW  8
CWR                10           10           10           10
LAL                2            2            2            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               27184                     28224

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 60S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$

AKZ111-231700-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
208 PM AKDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           50           60           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   50 (+1)      72 (0)       50           61-67
RH % (24H TREND)   78-85 (-1)   46-56 (+7)   87           55-71
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 1-6       SE 2-8       SW 2-5       W 4-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5632                      4513
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SE  6                     SW  7
CWR                10           10           10           20
LAL                2            2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               37427                     31112

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  50           40           50           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   52 (+3)      79 (-1)      52           73
RH % (24H TREND)   85-91 (0)    43-51 (+6)   90           53-60
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 2-7       S 2-7        S 3-8        SW 4-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5484                      4929
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SE  5                     SW  7
CWR                10           10           10           10
LAL                2            2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               37688                     42093

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 50. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 70S. LIGHT WINDS.

$$

AKZ121-231700-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
208 PM AKDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           50           50           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   51 (+2)      70-78 (0)    50           67-73
RH % (24H TREND)   81-90 (+5)   44-51 (+11)  84-90        48-61
20FTWND(MPH)       NW 2-7       NW 1-5       S 2-7        W 3-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              5147                      4627
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             NW  3                     SW  7
CWR                10           10           10           10
LAL                2            2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               25546                     34304

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        NONE         SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  0            20           20           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   52 (+1)      67-74 (0)    50           68
RH % (24H TREND)   81-91 (+9)   53-64 (+15)  86-94        57-65
20FTWND(MPH)       SW 2-8       W 3-5        SW 3-7       SW 5-10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              3852                      3450
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             NW  6                     SW  9
CWR                0            0            0            0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               20590                     30060

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ125-231700-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
208 PM AKDT Sat Jun 22 2024

.INLAND AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  40           40           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   50 (+3)      61-73 (0)    49           58-70
RH % (24H TREND)   78-87 (+2)   44-59 (+11)  82-91        48-64
20FTWND(MPH)       W 1-5        SE 1-6       SE 2-8       SE 2-7
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              4725                      4368
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             SE  7                     SE  8
CWR                10           10           10           10
LAL                2            2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               27609                     27432

REMARKS...NONE.

.COASTAL AREAS...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           20           30           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   51 (-1)      57-64 (-2)   50           54-62
RH % (24H TREND)   80-91 (+7)   50-78 (+23)  88-99        60-85
20FTWND(MPH)       W 1-10       SE 0-5       SE 1-5       SE 2-6
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              1933                      2754
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             E  6                      SE  6
CWR                10           0            10           0
LAL                1            1            1            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               16080                     22032

REMARKS...NONE.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. WEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ141-231700-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
208 PM AKDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS
EVENING FOR HOT DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS FOR THE NORTHERN COPPER
RIVER BASIN...

.ABOVE 2500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  60           40           50           50
TEMP (24H TREND)   39-46 (-1)   52-69 (0)    40-46        50-68
RH % (24H TREND)   68-78 (-2)   26-57 (+7)   68-77        39-63
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 2-12      E 1-8        SE 2-6       SW 3-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              8803                      8062
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             E  7                      SW  8
CWR                10           10           10           10
LAL                2            2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               61086                     59499

REMARKS...NONE.

.BELOW 2500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        MCLEAR       PCLDY        PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           20           30           20
TEMP (24H TREND)   50 (-2)      78 (0)       50           75
RH % (24H TREND)   65-73 (+1)   25-31 (+5)   68-75        38
20FTWND(MPH)       NE 3-11 G20  E 2-8        SE 2-8       S 4-8
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              9422                      9109
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             NE  6                     S  8
CWR                10           10           10           0
LAL                2            2            2            1
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               67522                     63480

REMARKS...Gusts to 30 mph near the Copper River during the evening.


.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS AROUND 70. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 70S. SOUTHWEST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$

AKZ145-231700-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
208 PM AKDT Sat Jun 22 2024

...RED FLAG WARNING REMAINS IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING
FOR HOT DRY AND WINDY CONDITIONS FOR THE NORTHERN SUSITNA VALLEY...

.ABOVE 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  30           40           60           60
TEMP (24H TREND)   50 (0)       68-75 (0)    51           63-70
RH % (24H TREND)   62-70 (-10)  26-37 (+4)   71-77        43-60
20FTWND(MPH)       N 5-14       E 2-6        N 2-6        SW 5-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              7303                      6908
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             NE  6                     SW  8
CWR                10           10           10           10
LAL                2            2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               56377                     48736

REMARKS...Gusts to 25 mph north of Talkeetna during the evening.

.BELOW 1500 FT...
                   TONIGHT      SUN          SUN NIGHT    MON

CLOUD COVER        PCLDY        PCLDY        MCLDY        MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS        TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%)  20           30           40           40
TEMP (24H TREND)   54 (+2)      81 (-1)      53           74
RH % (24H TREND)   66-80 (-9)   27-37 (+8)   79-89        46-53
20FTWND(MPH)       N 3-10       LGT/VAR      S 2-7        S 5-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL)              7392                      6038
TRANSPORT WND (MPH)             E  6                      S  9
CWR                10           10           10           10
LAL                2            2            2            2
VENT RATE (KT-FT)               49374                     54342

REMARKS...Gusts to 25 mph north of Talkeetna during the evening.

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SCATTERED SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.

$$