Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
817
FNAK51 PAFC 050026
FWFAER
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHCENTRAL ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
426 PM AKDT Tue Jun 4 2024
.DISCUSSION...
A strong upper level disturbance moving westward out of the Yukon
will start to impact the area late this afternoon and early
evening. Initial showers in the Copper River Basin will switch to
steady rain this evening and overnight. However, in the midst of
the showery regime this afternoon into early evening, a strike or
two of lightning is possible for portions of the Northeast Copper
River Basin. The steady wetting rains will shift westward through
the rest of mainland Southcentral through Wednesday and will lead
to cooler temperatures and higher RHs. Cool and showery weather
will likely continue through the end of this week as additional
upper level disturbances transit across Southcentral.
AKZ101-051900-
ANCHORAGE-
INCLUDING...ANCHORAGE...EAGLE RIVER...INDIAN...EKLUTNA
426 PM AKDT Tue Jun 4 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 100 40 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (+4) 52 (-6) 40 50-56
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (-7) 67-76 (+18) 87 42-62
20ftwnd(MPH) NW 1-6 SE 6-18 SE 5-15 SE 6-16
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2359 4141
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 16 SE 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 34186 64515
CWR 20 70 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 100 30 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (+6) 57 (-7) 45 60
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (-8) 62-68 (+16) 79-86 45-53
20ftwnd(MPH) SW 2-9 SE 1-14 SE 0-10 S 1-11 G20
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2338 4117
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 13 S 10
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 27908 57000
CWR 10 70 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S. HIGHS IN THE
LOWER 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
AKZ111-051900-
MATANUSKA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...PALMER...WASILLA...SUTTON...CHICKALOON
426 PM AKDT Tue Jun 4 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 90 100 40 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 42 (+2) 45-51 (-11) 39 47-54
RH % (24H TREND) 87-93 (+9) 66-80 (+25) 88 48-65
20ftwnd(MPH) NW 2-6 S 2-9 S 3-8 S 4-12
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2651 4199
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 10 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 25980 46160
CWR 40 80 0 10
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 100 20 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 47 (+6) 56 (-11) 44 60
RH % (24H TREND) 87 (-5) 60-72 (+23) 88 50
20ftwnd(MPH) SW 2-9 SE 2-11 SE 0-9 S 2-11 G20
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2885 4643
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 9 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23745 50082
CWR 30 80 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$
AKZ121-051900-
WESTERN KENAI PENINSULA-
INCLUDING...KENAI...SOLDOTNA...HOMER...COOPER LANDING
426 PM AKDT Tue Jun 4 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 90 60 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 44 (+3) 53-59 (-4) 43 52-60
RH % (24H TREND) 86 (-10) 54-64 (+11) 85-92 48-57
20ftwnd(MPH) W 1-5 SE 1-10 SE 0-7 SE 0-9
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3995 5173
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 9 S 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35690 74460
CWR 0 60 30 20
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 80 50 40
TEMP (24H TREND) 45 (+2) 58 (-2) 44 52-58
RH % (24H TREND) 81-87 (-10) 58-71 (+8) 86-93 53-65
20ftwnd(MPH) W 2-10 S 4-10 S 1-7 S 0-10 G17
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3986 4544
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 S 15
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 40592 65620
CWR 0 60 20 10
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND
40. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS AROUND 60. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. EAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
AKZ125-051900-
WESTERN PRINCE WILLIAM SOUND-
INCLUDING...WHITTIER...SEWARD...GIRDWOOD...MOOSE PASS
426 PM AKDT Tue Jun 4 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 100 80 90
TEMP (24H TREND) 41 (+2) 41-52 (-8) 34-40 42-52
RH % (24H TREND) 86-94 (0) 62-83 (+21) 88-96 56-75
20ftwnd(MPH) W 0-5 SE 3-9 SE 4-10 SE 6-13
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2325 4326
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 12 SE 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23949 51912
CWR 30 80 60 70
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY CLOUDY
PRECIP TYPE RAIN RAIN RAIN RAIN
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 100 80 90
TEMP (24H TREND) 37-43 (-1) 44-50 (-7) 37-43 42-50
RH % (24H TREND) 90-100 (+1) 75-92 (+27) 92-100 69-88
20ftwnd(MPH) SW 0-7 E 2-6 E 3-7 SE 5-10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 1373 3212
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 8 SE 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 15153 35332
CWR 40 90 60 80
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SHOWERS LIKELY AND SNOW SHOWERS. LOWS IN
THE UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 30S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 50S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 40S. EAST WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
$$
AKZ141-051900-
COPPER RIVER BASIN-
INCLUDING...GLENNALLEN...EUREKA...MCCARTHY...PAXSON...SLANA
426 PM AKDT Tue Jun 4 2024
.ABOVE 2500 FT...
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS RAIN SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 100 50 50
TEMP (24H TREND) 30-40 (+1) 37-52 (-8) 27-36 36-52
RH % (24H TREND) 90-97 (+11) 59-81 (+20) 82-89 41-69
20ftwnd(MPH) N 2-9 S 3-12 S 2-10 S 5-15
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4424 6877
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 12 S 14
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 79966 128304
CWR 60 60 20 20
LAL 2 1 1 1
REMARKS...Best chance for a strike or two of lightning is around
the middle elevations of the Northern Copper Basin late this
afternoon into the early evening.
.BELOW 2500 FT...
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 100 80 30 30
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (+1) 58 (-10) 40 60
RH % (24H TREND) 91 (+11) 47-53 (+16) 77-83 39
20ftwnd(MPH) NW 2-9 SE 4-14 G22 S 3-13 S 9-20 G27
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5539 7064
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 16 S 20
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 103938 143264
CWR 60 40 0 0
LAL 2 1 1 1
REMARKS...Best chance for a strike or two of lightning is around
the lower elevations and valleys of the Northern Copper Basin
late this afternoon into the early evening..
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
MID 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS AROUND 40. HIGHS
IN THE LOWER 60S. NORTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
AKZ145-051900-
SUSITNA VALLEY-
INCLUDING...TALKEETNA...WILLOW
426 PM AKDT Tue Jun 4 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 80 100 80 70
TEMP (24H TREND) 43 (+7) 52 (-11) 40 49-56
RH % (24H TREND) 83-89 (-3) 68-78 (+34) 90 47-64
20ftwnd(MPH) NW 2-7 S 4-10 S 3-9 S 3-11
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 3226 4595
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 9 S 12
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 38655 70567
CWR 40 80 40 30
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT WED WED NIGHT THU
CLOUD COVER PCLDY CLOUDY CLOUDY MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS RAIN SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 100 80 60
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (+7) 57 (-12) 44 61
RH % (24H TREND) 84 (-11) 64-75 (+36) 92 47-54
20ftwnd(MPH) W 1-5 SE 5-10 SE 2-9 S 3-10
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2240 6092
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 13 S 13
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 32332 89820
CWR 10 80 40 30
LAL 1 1 1 1
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF SHOWERS. LOWS IN THE
UPPER 30S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SATURDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. NORTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
.SUNDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S.
HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 5 MPH.
$$