484
FNAK71 PAFC 150144
FWSAER

Spot Forecast for Crow Pass Race...Alaska Mountain Rescue Group
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
544 PM AKDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 AKDT on July 15.
.DISCUSSION...Overcast skies with the primary ceiling between 3000 and
5000 ft are expected for Tuesday. However, given recent rain over
the area and the complexity of the mountain/valley circulation
cycle, clouds around 2000 ft may develop throughout the morning
and early afternoon as the valley warms. There is low confidence
in ceilings above 2000 ft due to westerly flow against the Chugach
on Tuesday, but if there is enough heating ceilings may become
unrestricted by late afternoon. On Tuesday night into Wednesday a
storm will approach the Alaska Peninsula, which will generate
easterly flow over the forecast area. This will raise ceilings
significantly, but will also introduce a strengthening easterly
wind, particularly in the afternoon. Assuming clouds to lift out
of the area overnight on Tuesday, Wednesday morning will likely
have the most favorable flying conditions prior to the arrival of
the wind in the afternoon.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers early in the morning, then isolated
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds becoming west 5 to 6 mph in the
                    afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......3500ft with periods of clouds at or below 2000ft.
Ceilings may rise above 5000 ft in the afternoon.
Visibility..........6SM.

.TUESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 44.
Surface winds (mph).Light winds.
Rainfall amount.....0.00 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......10000ft.
Visibility..........10SM.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Chance of rain in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 5 to 9 mph increasing to 18 to 25 mph
in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......8000ft.
Visibility..........10SM.

$$
Forecaster...Jones
Requested by...Mark Miraglia
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2517842.0/AER
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL msmiraglia050@gmail.com