405
FNAK71 PAFC 032317
FWSAER

Spot Forecast for F/V Sea Urn Grounging...NOAA OR&R
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
317 PM AKDT Wed Sep 3 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1500 AKDT on September 03.
.DISCUSSION...

Through Thursday morning, a weak front will bring southeasterly
winds and about a 30% chance for rain showers. By late Thursday
morning/early Thursday afternoon, high pressure will lead to winds
of 10 kt or less and dry conditions through Friday. By this
weekend, the outlook is for more active weather as an approaching
front will likely bring light rain and winds to about 20-25 kt.

Notes: Forecast currents are unavailable. Overall forecast
confidence is lowest for ceilings, visibility, and wave height as
the nearest observations are at Kodiak Airport/PADQ (about 30
statute miles SW of the spill) and buoy 46080 (about 85 statue
miles E of the spill). In addition, microclimate effects in the
bay may lead to localized weather that are difficult to predict.


.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Surface winds (kts).Southeast winds 14 to 16 knots.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Wave height.........3-4 feet.
CEILING (KFT).......Broken 1.5 to 2.5 kft.
Visibility..........Greater than 6SM.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Chance of rain showers overnight.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Surface winds (kts).South winds 14 to 17 knots.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Wave height.........3-4 feet.
CEILING (KFT).......Overcast 1.5 to 2.5 kft with a period of ceilings likely dropping
                    to 0.5 to 1.0 kft in the very early morning.
Visibility..........Greater than 6SM, though areas of fog may drop visibility to 3-5
                    SM at times.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of rain
                    showers in the morning diminishing by afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Surface winds (kts).Southwest winds 5 to 6 knots shifting to the west around 6
                    knots in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Wave height.........2-3 feet.
CEILING (KFT).......Overcast 1.5 to 2.5 kft in the morning increasing to over 3.0 kft
                    by late afternoon.
Visibility..........Greater than 6SM, though any fog that develops overnight may linger
                    through late morning.

$$
Forecaster...Chen
Requested by...Liza Sanden
Type of request...HAZMAT
.TAG 2521279.0/AER
.DELDT 09/03/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL Anthony.R.Urbana@uscg.mil,liza.sanden@noaa.gov