009
FNAK71 PAFC 011312
FWSAER

Spot Forecast for Kenai NWR Pile Burning...US Wildland Fire Service
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
512 AM AKDT Thu Oct 1 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 AKDT on October 01.
.DISCUSSION...

Some showers will linger in the vicinity early this morning
as an upper level trough lifts slowly northeast and out of the area.
Skies will clear overnight, allowing temperatures to cool to some of
the coldest observed this season. A front and low pressure system
will move into the Gulf through the day Friday and into Saturday.
This will increase northerly winds over the area.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent) then becoming
                    mostly sunny (35-45 percent). Rain showers
                    likely early in the morning, then chance of
                    rain showers and snow showers late in the
                    morning.
Chance of pcpn......70 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 42.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 7 mph.
Ventilation Rate....Poor (360-1600 m^2/s).
Pcpn amount.........0.01 inches.

TIME (AKDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........86  86  77  77  77  71  71  71  42  42
Weather cov.....LKY LKY CHC CHC CHC
Weather type....RW  RW  RS  RS  RS
Chc of pcpn (%).70  70  30  30  30  0   0   0   0   0
Temp............29  30  33  36  38  39  41  41  42  42
RH..............92  88  89  87  82  75  72  68  65  64
20 FT wind dir..E   E   SE  SE  SE  E   E   E   NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   1   1   1   2   2
20 FT wind gust.7   7   7   7   7   5   5   5   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.6 0.6 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.9 1.7 1.7
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   6   6
Vent (m^2/s)....360 360 16001600160016001600160013491349

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (20-30 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 25.
Max humidity........91 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 5 to 6 mph.
Ventilation Rate....Poor (266-1349 m^2/s).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (AKDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........42  29  29  29  23  23  23  18  18  18  8   8
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............41  39  36  34  32  31  30  30  29  28  27  26
RH..............64  69  75  80  84  86  86  87  88  90  90  90
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
20 FT wind gust.3   5   5   5   6   6   6   7   7   7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...1.7 1.7 1.7 1.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.6   6   6   6   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6
Vent (m^2/s)....1349134913491349266 266 266 266 266 266 392 392

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Sunny (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 44.
Min humidity........55 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......2100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 6 to 10 mph.
Ventilation Rate....Poor (392-2808 m^2/s).
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.

TIME (AKDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........8   14  14  14  17  17  17  11  11  11  6   6
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............25  25  25  27  30  34  38  41  42  43  44  44
RH..............90  90  91  89  86  79  69  62  59  56  55  55
20 FT wind dir..NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   6   6   6   6   6   6   8   8   8   8   8
20 FT wind gust.7   9   9   9   10  10  10  12  12  12  10  10
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 1.8 2.1 2.1
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.6   7   7   7   9   9   9   9   9   9   10  10
Vent (m^2/s)....392 392 392 392 22902290229022902290229028082808

$$
Forecaster...Jones
Requested by...Daniel Osborn
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2622889.0/AER
.DELDT 10/01/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL daniel_osborn@fws.gov