149
FNAK71 PAFC 160013
FWSAER

Spot Forecast for Crow Pass Race...Alaska Mountain Rescue Group
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
413 PM AKDT Tue Jul 15 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0600 AKDT on July 16.

.DISCUSSION...A few low clouds may linger along the mountains of
the Eagle River Valley overnight tonight into Wednesday morning,
but expect much of the valley to clear out by Wednesday morning.
A frontal system will then approach from the south on Wednesday,
with strengthening southeasterly winds through the day. Ceilings
will dip down as the front passes through early to mid afternoon,
likely bringing a brief period of light rain. However, the
southeasterly flow and rapid weakening of the front as it reach
the Eagle River Valley will generally maintain high ceilings.
Winds will peak between 3pm and 9pm Wednesday, then quickly
diminish.


.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Rain likely in
                    the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......60 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........57 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 4 to 8 mph increasing to 12 to
                    20 mph with gusts of 25 to 30 mph in the afternoon.
Rainfall amount.....0.02 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......20,000 feet in the morning, lowering to 4500 to 6000
                    feet during the early to mid afternoon. Ceilings then
                    lifting in the late afternoon to around 10,000 feet.
Visibility..........Greater than 6 miles. A chance for brief period of
                    4 to 5 miles in light rain early to mid afternoon.

TIME (AKDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........13  41  41  41  53  53  53  81  81  81  73  73
Weather cov.....                            LKY LKY LKY CHC CHC
Weather type....                            RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   10  10  10  60  60  60  50  40
Temp............44  46  49  54  58  60  61  61  60  60  60  60
RH..............75  74  70  64  59  57  57  57  57  58  58  59
Surface wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Surface wnd spd.5   7   7   7   13  13  13  17  17  17  16  16
Surface wnd gst.7               14  14  14  20  20  20  24  24


.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). A chance of rain showers.                overnight.
Chance of pcpn......35 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........75 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Southeast winds 10 to 18 mph with gusts to 25 mph in the
                    evening, then becoming light overnight.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......6000 to 10,000 feet in the evening, lowering to 4500 to
                    6000 feet after midnight.
Visibility..........Greater than 6 miles.

TIME (AKDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........73  70  70  70  70  70  70  62  62  62  73  73
Weather cov.....LKY CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC CHC SCH SCH
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  30  20  20
Temp............60  59  58  58  57  56  55  56  55  55  55  55
RH..............60  61  64  67  70  71  72  74  73  73  74  74
Surface wnd dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Surface wnd spd.16  14  14  14  10  10  10  7   7   7   3   3
Surface wnd gst.24  22  22  22  15  15  15
Ceiling (kft)...
Visibility (sm).


.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). A chance of rain showers.
Chance of pcpn......40 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........62 percent.
Surface winds (mph).Light and variable winds.
Rainfall amount.....0.01 inches.
CEILING (KFT).......6000 feet or higher.
Visibility..........Greater than 6 miles.


$$
Forecaster...Baines/Jones
Requested by...Mark Miraglia
Type of request...SAR
.TAG 2518056.0/AER
.DELDT 07/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL msmiraglia050@gmail.com