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779
FNAK71 PAFC 191350
FWSAER

Spot Forecast for Avy Acres 125...USFS
National Weather Service Anchorage AK
450 AM AKST Wed Nov 19 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 AKST on November 19.
.DISCUSSION...

Quiet and seasonal weather is expected today between systems. Tonight
a strong front will move into the Kenai Peninsula, bringing warmer
temperatures, easterly winds and light rain to the area through Friday
morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (30-40 percent). Slight chance of
                    snow late in the afternoon.
CWR.................0 percent.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 32.
Min humidity........75 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 7 to 9 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.00 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches.
Vent Rate...........375 increasing to 545 in the afternoon

TIME (AKST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........32  32  38  38  38  36  36  36  39  39  39
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                SN  SN  SN
CWR.............0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  20  20  20
Temp............25  25  25  26  28  30  32  32  31  30  28
RH..............89  90  91  90  87  86  83  81  78  77  76
20 FT wind dir..E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.                                7   7   7
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.7   7   7   7   7   7   7   7   9   9   9

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Chance of snow
                    early in the evening, then rain and snow likely
                    late in the evening. Rain overnight.
CWR.................41 percent.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 26.
Max humidity........90 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 7 to 15 mph increasing to around 20
                    mph after 3 am.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 13 to 22 mph increasing to around 24 mph
                    after 3 am.
Pcpn amount.........0.19 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.2 inches.


TIME (AKST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........47  47  47  63  63  63  85  85  85  95  95  95
Weather cov.....CHC CHC CHC LKY LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....SN  SN  SN  RS  RS  RS  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN
CWR.............40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40  40
Chc of pcpn (%).30  30  30  60  60  60  80  80  80  90  90  90
Temp............27  26  27  28  29  31  32  33  34  36  36  37
RH..............75  76  78  79  81  82  84  84  84  84  86  88
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..7   7   7   9   9   9   15  15  15  20  20  20
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   13  13  13  21  21  21  28  28  28
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.7 0.7 0.7 0.9 0.9 0.9
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.13  13  13  16  16  16  22  22  22  24  24  24

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-90 percent). Rain early in
                    the morning, then rain showers in the late
                    morning and afternoon.
CWR.................80 percent.
Chance of pcpn......90 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 40.
Min humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 9 to 18 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 13 to 21 mph.
Pcpn amount.........0.32 inches.
Snowfall amount.....0.0 inches.
Vent Rate...........1725

TIME (AKST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........94  94  94  90  90  90  84  84  84  77  77  77
Weather cov.....DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF DEF
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
CWR.............70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70  70
Chc of pcpn (%).90  90  90  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80  80
Temp............36  36  37  37  38  39  40  40  40  39  38  37
RH..............90  90  90  91  89  88  86  82  78  77  80  82
20 FT wind dir..E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
20 FT wind spd..18  18  18  12  12  12  9   9   9   9   9   9
20 FT wind gust.25  25  25  17  17  17  14  14  14  16  16  16
Mix hgt (kft)...1.1 1.1 1.1 0.8 0.8 0.8 0.9 0.9 0.9 0.8 0.8 0.8
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   E   E   SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE
Transp wind spd.21  21  21  20  20  20  15  15  15  13  13  13

$$
Forecaster...Jones
Requested by...Nathan Basford
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2525742.0/AER
.DELDT 11/19/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL nathan.basford@usda.gov