323
FXAK69 PAFG 011538
AFDAFG

Northern Alaska Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
638 AM AKST Sun Nov 1 2026

.KEY MESSAGES...Central and Eastern Interior...

- A cold front brings light snow to the Interior once again  Sunday,
mainly north and west of Fairbanks with light  accumulations around
0.5 to 1.5 inches from Tanana to Bettles.

- The weather turns quiet Sunday evening into next week with a
cooling trend as highs remain largely in the 20s and lows in   the
teens/single digits.

West Coast and Western Interior...

- Fairly benign weather follows but winds pick back up from the
southeast Sunday night into Monday, upwards of 40 mph from the
Seward Peninsula South.

North Slope and Brooks Range...
- A weak cold front will cause the central Brooks Range(including
the Dalton Highway) to continue to see light snowfall rates through
Sunday, including down through Bettles & into the Tanana area. 0.5
to 1.5 inches of snow is expected.

- West winds increase into Sunday, strongest near  Kaktovik with
gusts up to 30 mph, weakening Sunday night.

- Quiet weather resumes early next week with seasonably cold
temperatures and a blend of clouds and clear skies.

&&

.SYNOPSIS...The weakening remnants of Typhoon Champi will meander in
the northern Gulf of Alaska through Sunday. A weak cold front will
cause the central Brooks Range(including the Dalton Highway) to
continue to see light snowfall rates through Sunday, including down
through Bettles & into the Tanana area. The precipitation will stay
north & west of Fairbanks. Temperatures have finally begun to cool
closer to normal values Sunday as some general broad troughing with
associated CAA builds-in. Breezy / gusty conditions will be in
store, once again, especially around the western & northern coastal
areas, in the higher elevations, & for the Alaska Range gaps within
the early through midweek timeframe due to the tightening pressure
gradient between an area of higher pressure to the east & north of
our region & a low pressure system to our southwest, which will move
through the southern Bering Sea on Monday & cross into the Gulf of
Alaska by midweek. Through the rest of the period, a blocking ridge
of high pressure sets up over the Arctic Ocean, keeping gusty winds
over the northern / northwestern coastal areas.

&&

.SHORT TERM.../Through Tuesday/...The active weather pattern is
generally subsiding for the second half of the weekend.

A weak cold front will cause the central Brooks Range to continue to
see light snowfall rates through Sunday, including the Dalton HWY &
down through the Bettles & into the Tanana area. The continued
chances of frozen precipitation will keep road conditions hazardous
across those areas that continue receive it. Areas north and
northeast of the Alaska Range, particularly the Fairbanks bowl, will
continue to be shadowed, being shielded from any additional
precipitation for the foreseeable future. Through the period,
general broad troughing with some CAA is setting-up over the state,
which is finally bringing an end to the above normal temperatures
that we have been experiencing across the Interior, bringing in a
gradual cooling trend as we progress into November.

The remnants of Typhoon Champi is continuing to weaken, drift in the
northern Gulf of Alaska, meander, & be absorbed into the general
flow by Monday morning. However, another system is on the horizon &
will move into the southern Bering Sea Sunday night. Models are
forecasting the low to generally track toward the southeast with
gusty southeasterly winds to pick up around this time over the YK
Delta Coast & up the West Coast from Sunday night well into next
week. Any precipitation associated with this system is expected to
be in the form of rain along the YK Delta coastline & remain quite
light. Due to the NE to SW offshore orientation of the pressure
gradient wind flow, appreciable coastal flooding concerns are not
anticipated at this time. A ridge of high pressure will also be
building in from the east for the 1st half of the week over portions
of Eastern Alaska, clearing things out & keeping things dry over the
Interior & the vast majority of northern Alaska.

Gusty wind conditions will set-up, once again, especially around the
western & northern coastal areas, in the higher elevations, & gusty
gap winds will be materializing for the Alaska Range passes from
early through mid-week due to the tightening pressure gradient
between the area of higher pressure to the east & north of our
region & the low pressure system to our southwest, which will move
southeastward through the southern Bering Sea on Monday & cross into
the Gulf of Alaska by midweek.

&&

.LONG TERM.../Tuesday Night through Friday/...The overall troughing
with associated cooler air is expected to generally linger through
next week, continuing to gradually bring temperatures closer to more
normal values, especially for the Interior, for this time of year, &
strong blocking area of high pressure building in over the Arctic
Ocean for midweek through the rest of the period, bringing the
northern 2/3 of the state of Alaska drier & cooler weather. Gusty
conditions will be in store, especially around the northwestern &
Arctic Coastal areas & in higher elevations as we progress through
the week due to the pressure gradient between the aforementioned
area of higher pressure & the aforementioned low moving to the south
of the area from the southern Bering Sea to the northern Gulf of
Alaska.


.COASTAL HAZARD POTENTIAL...Looking through next week, model
guidance continues to indicate a low pressure system in the southern
Bering Sea moving southeastward toward the Gulf as we move from
early through midweek. Winds will become gusty, but due to the NE to
SW offshore orientation of the pressure gradient wind flow,
appreciable coastal flooding concerns are not anticipated at this
time.

&&

.AFG WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
AK...None.
MARINE...Small Craft Advisory from midnight tonight to 6 AM AKST Monday
     for PKZ801-816-850.
     Small Craft Advisory from 3 AM to 6 AM AKST Monday for PKZ817.
     Small Craft Advisory from 6 PM this evening to 6 AM AKST
     Monday for PKZ851.
&&

$$

KEY MESSAGES...Chambers
SYNOPSIS.......Chambers
SHORT TERM.....Chambers
LONG TERM......Chambers
COASTAL........Chambers