368
FNAK79 PAFG 170757
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 2026 Stuart Creek Rx...BLM-AFS
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1157 PM AKDT Sat May 16 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1200 AKDT on May 17.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...

Generally warm and dry conditions are expected through the
weekend with highs in the lower to mid 60s and min RH values
between 20 to 30%. Little to no precipitation is expected through
the weekend, though there is a possibility of an isolated shower
or two. Though thunderstorms remain unlikely, there is a slight,
nonzero percent chance that one may form with these showers.
Southeast winds between 5 and 10 mph will become southerly Sunday
night, before turning southwest and decreasing to 5 to 10 mph on
Monday. Periods of gusty winds around 25 mph are possible in the
afternoons.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
CWR25...............0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None (0 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........20 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 7 to 10 mph with gusts to
                    around 25 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph becoming south
                    in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 16 mph.
Inversion burnoff...0900 AKDT

.SUNDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (35-45 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
CWR25...............0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None (0 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 42.
Max humidity........62 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 5 to 6 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds 15 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....0100 AKDT

.MONDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent).
CWR.................4 percent.
CWR25...............0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None (0 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 59.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 to 6 mph in
                    the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......West/southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 7200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...0900 AKDT

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.TUESDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the upper 30s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Light winds.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s.
Highs in the upper 50s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Chance of showers. Lows around 40. Highs in the
lower 60s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...LEWIS/SATCHER
Requested by...Joe Erickson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613626.3/AFG
.DELDT 05/17/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jerickson@blm.gov