Spot Forecast
Issued by NWS Fairbanks, AK

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FNAK79 PAFG 151322
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Spot Forecast for AK-DEP Fall RX Piles...National Park Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
522 AM AKDT Wed Oct 15 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 AKDT on October 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Drier conditions expected Wednesday and Thursday ahead of
increasing showers Thursday night through the weekend. South to
southeast winds around 15 to 20 mph expected this morning with
gusts up to 35 mph possible. These stronger winds weaken somewhat
Wednesday night and fade further Thursday afternoon. Winds will
limit inversion development. Temperatures remain stable through
Thursday with highs near 40 and lows near 30, but cool further
Friday and into the weekend.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent).
CWR.................2 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 41.
Min humidity........65 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 8 to 13 mph.
Mixing height.......1300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 17 mph.
Inversion burnoff...No inversion expected.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and snow showers in the evening, then
                    isolated rain showers and snow showers
                    overnight.
CWR.................2 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 31.
Max humidity........89 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph in the evening becoming
                    light.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....Weak surface inversion forms around 9pm.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent) then becoming partly
                    sunny (55-65 percent). Isolated rain showers in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................1 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 41.
Min humidity........72 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 6 to 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Weak surface inversion burns off around 11am.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy with numerous snow showers and scattered showers.
Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Numerous snow showers. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs in the mid
30s. West winds around 8 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered snow showers. Lows around 17. Highs
in the upper 20s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...STOKES
Requested by...Lexie Regetz
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523423.1/AFG
.DELDT 10/15/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL alexandra_regetz@nps.gov