430
FNAK79 PAFG 130644
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 2026 DTA Bolio RX...BLM-AFS
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
1044 PM AKDT Tue May 12 2026

Forecast is based on ignition time of 1000 AKDT on May 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Overall warm and dry conditions continue into the weekend as
southeasterly flow builds over the state. Scattered rain showers
may develop during the afternoon hours Wednesday and Thursday, but
thunderstorm chances remain low. The greatest chance for
lightning will be in the Upper Tanana Valley near the AlCan
border. High temperatures will stay warm on Wednesday before
briefly cooling into the mid to upper 50s Thursday and Friday as
cold air gets pushed south. Min RH values will be in the low to
mid 30s the rest of this week before decreasing to around 25%
through the weekend. Expect mainly south/southeast winds on
Wednesday shifting towards the west/southwest by Thursday at
around 10 to 15 mph.

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers in the afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
CWR25...............0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None (0 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 5 to 13 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast winds 15 to 20 mph becoming light.
Mixing height.......3200 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 12 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0800 AKDT.

.WEDNESDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers through the night.
CWR.................5 percent.
CWR25...............0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None (0 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 45.
Max humidity........66 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 6 to 12 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast/east winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 10 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around 0000 AKDT.

.THURSDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Chance of rain showers.
CWR.................16 percent.
CWR25...............10 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None (0 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds around 5 mph shifting to the
                    northwest 6 to 7 mph in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......East winds around 5 mph becoming northwest.
Mixing height.......2400 ft AGL increasing to 2600 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 6 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0700 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.FRIDAY...
Cloudy with chance of showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the mid 50s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
South winds around 6 mph.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper 50s.
South winds around 14 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SANTIAGO
Requested by...Joe Erickson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2613018.6/AFG
.DELDT 05/13/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jerickson@blm.gov