946
FNAK79 PAFG 181441 AAC
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 119 McDonald...UPDATED
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
641 AM AKDT Tue Jun 18 2024

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0800 AKDT on June 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
A very unstable airmass will cause isolated thunderstorms through the day,
with scattered thunderstorms in the afternoon and evening. This afternoon
and evening the thunderstorms could have frequent lightning,
brief heavy rain, winds gusting to 30 mph and 1/2 inch hail.

Conditions will be a few degrees cooler with 3-5% higher RH than
yesterday. Wed will be slightly drier but with similar temperatures
to today. There will be slight warming and drying on Thu, with
very warm conditions continuing into the weekend.
No strong winds are expected other than gusty and erratic winds
with thunderstorms

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Areas
                    of smoke thinning in the afternoon. Isolated
                    thunderstorms early in the morning. Scattered
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................22 percent.
LAL.................4.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........32 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming southwest 5 mph in the afternoon.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms early in the morning. Gusty
                    and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms
                    in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 8 mph.
Mixing height.......1100 ft AGL increasing to 6600 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (60-70 percent). Areas of smoke
                    after midnight. Scattered
                    thunderstorms in the evening. Isolated
                    thunderstorms overnight.
CWR.................10 percent.
LAL.................4.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........77 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest 5 mph becoming light after midnight.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest 5 mph.
Mixing height.......6600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 8 mph.
Inversion setup.....Midnight.

.JUNETEENTH...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Smoke thinning in the afternoon.
                    Scattered rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms.
CWR.................13 percent.
LAL.................2.
Max temperature.....Around 77.
Min humidity........29 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light becoming west 3-5 mph.
                    Gusty and erratic winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......West 5 mph.
Mixing height.......800 ft AGL increasing to 5600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....West around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9 AM.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Areas of smoke. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Areas of smoke in the evening. Scattered showers
and slight chance of thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs
in the lower 70s. Light winds.
.SATURDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and slight chance of
thunderstorms. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.

$$
Forecaster...BRADER
Requested by...Casey Lasota
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2416117.8/AFG
.DELDT 06/18/24
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0