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FNAK79 PAFG 111449
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 2026 Jarvis Rx...Alaska Fire Service
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
649 AM AKDT Mon May 11 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1000 AKDT on May 11.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

...WIND ADVISORY IN EFFECT UNTIL 10 PM AKDT THIS EVENING...
...RED FLAG WARNING IN EFFECT FROM 10 AM THIS MORNING TO 10 PM
AKDT THIS EVENING...

.DISCUSSION...
Dry and somewhat cooler conditions will be possible today, but
gusty southerly winds will continue at the fire site. These will
combine to produce high fire danger for which a Red Flag Warning
has been issued. Gusts could reach as high as about 50 mph this
afternoon, but should weaken tonight (which remaining stronger at
a few thousand feet above the ground for a bit longer). Highs will
reach into the mid 50s, with min RH values in the 20s. Winds are
likely to weaken overnight and into tomorrow morning. Conditions
will be warmer on Tuesday, reaching into the low 60s, with
continuing dry conditions, but decreasing winds will reduce the
fire weather potential. Similar conditions persist Wednesday, with
somewhat cooler and moister conditions possible late this week.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent).
CWR.................3 percent.
CWR25...............0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None (0 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 54.
Min humidity........26 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 18 to 21 mph with gusts to around
                    45 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds 20 to 30 mph with gusts to around
                    50 mph.
Mixing height.......5300 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South around 22 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Little or no inversion due to wind.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (25-35 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
CWR25...............0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None (0 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 39.
Max humidity........51 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........South winds 9 to 21 mph gusting to 30 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds 15 to 25 mph gusting to 40 mph.
Mixing height.......4600 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....South around 17 mph.
Inversion setup.....0000 AKDT.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (45-55 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
CWR25...............0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None (0 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 61.
Min humidity........24 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southeast winds 10 to 13 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast winds 12 to 20 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 4400 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 14 mph.
Inversion burnoff...0900 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southeast winds around 8 mph.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy with showers. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the
upper 50s. West winds around 6 mph.
.FRIDAY...
Cloudy with showers. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the upper
50s. Southwest winds around 6 mph.

$$
Forecaster...SALTZMAN
Requested by...Joe Erickson
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2613119.3/AFG
.DELDT 05/11/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jerickson@blm.gov