487
FNAK79 PAFG 141403
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 448 Tlozhavun...Bureau of Land Management
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
603 AM AKDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Sunday, temperatures climbed into the upper 70s/low 80s, with RH
near 30 percent. Winds were west-southwesterly, with gusts in the
teens.

For Monday, we are currently watching a line of convective cells
move northeast across the fire, likely bringing some light
showers, cooler temps, and increasing RH through the morning.
Expect a few hours of quiet weather after these showers pass, with an
increased chance for thunderstorms once again later this
afternoon. Winds through the lower boundary layer will be from the
west-southwest, with surface winds likely near 10 mph with gusts
in the upper teens. Outflow winds from thunderstorms this
afternoon could reach 30 mph.

Late Tuesday a warm front moves over the region increasing
chances for light rain in the late afternoon, with better cloud
cover, increased RH, and slightly cooler temperatures.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (55-65 percent). Haze through the
                    day. Scattered showers through the day.
                    Thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................10 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Widely Sct.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........40 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......1000 ft AGL increasing to 4700 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West-southwest around 15 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Near noon.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the evening. Haze through
                    the night.
CWR.................10 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Widely Sct.
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........84 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 13 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......3800 ft AGL decreasing to 900 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West-southwest around 18 mph.
Inversion setup.....Near midnight.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (65-75 percent). Haze in the
                    morning. Isolated rain showers in the
                    late afternoon.
CWR.................5 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 72.
Min humidity........49 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 9 to 12 mph.
Mixing height.......1900 ft AGL increasing to 4800 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West-southwest around 21 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Near 1pm.

$$
Forecaster...PARK
Requested by...K. Shields
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517950.0/AFG
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dale_woitas@fws.gov,kshields@blm.gov,akyfdc@firenet.gov