448
FNAK79 PAFG 141434
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 435 - Polly...Bureau of Land Management
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
634 AM AKDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 AKDT on July 13.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...A ridge of high pressure continues to break down today as a
shortwave moves over the area, which will spark widely scattered thunderstorms
this afternoon and evening. Expect storms to move from southwest to northeast
and to produce rainfall. Showers persist through the night and through the day
Tuesday with wetting rains likely, though some spots will likely stay dry due to
the showery nature of this system. A ridge of high pressure builds back in on
Wednesday for the end of the week, bringing a return to warm and dry conditions.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Haze in the
                    morning. Numerous rain showers through the day.
                    Isolated thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................12 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Widely Sct.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........39 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 5 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......Light and variable winds. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    afternoon.
Mixing height.......700 ft AGL increasing to 4800 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and early afternoon, then
                    decreasing to 2500 ft AGL late in the
                    afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 10 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0900.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Numerous rain showers
                    and isolated thunderstorms in the evening, then
                    widespread rain showers overnight.
CWR.................66 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Widely Sct.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 5 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Northwest winds around 5 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms in the evening.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....West around 10 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around 2200.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers in the morning. Isolated thunderstorms
                    through the day. Scattered rain showers in the
                    afternoon.
CWR.................61 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Max temperature.....Around 67.
Min humidity........54 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........West winds 6 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Light and variable winds. Gusty and erratic winds
                    expected near thunderstorms.
Mixing height.......1600 ft AGL increasing to 3300 ft AGL late in
                    the afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 12 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0900.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the lower 70s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the mid 70s. Light
winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Slight chance of showers. Lows in the lower 50s.
Highs in the mid 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...CHRIEST
Requested by...Upper Yukon Zone
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517860.3/AFG
.DELDT 07/13/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL kshields@blm.gov,bpitts@blm.gov,akyfdc@firenet.gov