358
FNAK79 PAFG 141501
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for Lush Fire...BLM-AFS
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
701 AM AKDT Mon Jul 14 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on July 14.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Cooler and wetter pattern today as a front continues to move
inland from the Bering Sea. Isolated and scattered thunderstorms
are possible this afternoon/evening. These storms are likely to
produce wetting rains today into tonight, which will aid in
decreasing fire activity and smoky conditions. High temperatures
will cool to the upper 50s and low 60s through Wednesday. Min RH
values will remain above 55% through Wednesday. Winds will be out
of the southwest between 10 to 15 mph through Tuesday, with gusty
and erratic winds expected in higher terrain and when
thunderstorms are present. Ridgetop winds are expected to be
relatively strong with sustained speeds up to 30 mph out of the
southwest through Tuesday. High pressure returns on Wednesday with
warmer and drier conditions expected going into the weekend.

.TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (90-100 percent). Haze in the morning.
                    Widespread rain showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms through the day.
CWR.................74 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Widely Sct.
Max temperature.....Around 70.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 6 to 10 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds between 20 to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......900 ft AGL increasing to 2900 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 15 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 1030 AKDT.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (70-80 percent). Numerous rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms in the
                    evening, then scattered rain showers overnight.
CWR.................26 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Widely Sct.
Min temperature.....Around 51.
Max humidity........93 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 7 to 8 mph. Gusty and erratic
                    winds expected near thunderstorms in the
                    evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds between 25 to 30 mph.
Mixing height.......2800 ft AGL decreasing to 600 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 14 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around 2300 AKDT.

.TUESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Cloudy (85-95 percent). Widespread rain showers
                    in the morning, then numerous rain showers in
                    the afternoon.
CWR.................30 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 62.
Min humidity........63 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Southwest winds 8 to 10 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......Southwest winds around 28 mph.
Mixing height.......2700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest around 17 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 0900 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...
Cloudy with numerous showers. Lows in the upper 40s. Highs in the
upper 60s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Light winds.
.FRIDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the lower 70s.
Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...SANTIAGO
Requested by...Travis McCabe
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517434.5/AFG
.DELDT 07/14/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL tshields@blm.gov,dbloemke@blm.gov,khajny@blm.gov,akyfdc@firenet.gov,tmccabe@blm.gov