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FNAK79 PAFG 151423
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Spot Forecast for Tatlanika...DOF
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
623 AM AKDT Sat Aug 15 2026

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 0700 AKDT on August 15.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Showers and isolated thunderstorms expected near the fire
Saturday. Temperatures remain warm through Sunday with highs near
80. Southerly winds increase over the Alaska Range south of the
fire early Sunday. Gusty southerly winds may occasionally mix down
near the fire Sunday becoming most common around peak heating.
These gusts could range from 15 to 25 mph, with stronger gusts
possible, but they would be quite rare. Relative humidities bottom
out near 40 over the weekend. Cooler, more showery conditions are
expected to approach the region Monday, but southerly flow over
the mountains will limit precipitation over the fire. Chances of
wetting rain improve Tuesday as southerly winds weaken.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (50-60 percent). Haze and smoke
                    through the day. Isolated showers in the
                    morning. Scattered showers and isolated
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
CWR.................11 percent.
CWR25...............10 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Iso (20 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 79.
Min humidity........43 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph in the morning becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the afternoon.
Ridgetop wind.......East winds around 10 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 3400 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 7 mph.
Inversion burnoff...10am.

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (50-60 percent) then becoming
                    partly cloudy (20-30 percent). Isolated showers
                    and thunderstorms in the evening. Smoke and
                    haze through the night.
CWR.................10 percent.
CWR25...............0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Iso (20 percent).
Min temperature.....Around 56.
Max humidity........85 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds around 5 mph in the evening becoming
                    light. Gusty and erratic winds expected near
                    thunderstorms in the evening.
Ridgetop wind.......Southeast winds 10 to 15 mph.
Mixing height.......2500 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 7 mph.
Inversion setup.....10pm.

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Haze and smoke.
CWR.................2 percent.
CWR25...............0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None (0 percent).
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........41 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........East winds 5 to 8 mph.
Ridgetop wind.......South winds 15 to 25 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL increasing to 5000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast around 8 mph.
Inversion burnoff...9am.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers. Haze. Lows in the mid 50s.
Highs in the lower 70s. Southeast winds around 6 mph.
.TUESDAY...
Haze in the evening. Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows
in the upper 40s. Highs in the upper 60s. Southwest winds around
6 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...
Mostly cloudy with scattered showers. Lows in the upper 40s.
Highs in the mid 60s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...STOKES
Requested by...Dane Smigleski
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2619083.9/AFG
.DELDT 08/15/26
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL dnr.dffp.nfdc@alaska.gov,Teresa.rose@alaska.gov,dane.smigleski@alaska.gov