867
FNAK79 PAFG 162144
FWSAFG

Spot Forecast for 435 - Polly...Bureau of Land Management
National Weather Service Fairbanks AK
144 PM AKDT Wed Jul 16 2025

Forecast is based on forecast start time of 1800 AKDT on July 16.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service.

.DISCUSSION...
Nearest observation sites showed some rainfall in this region the
past couple days...however...it is unlikely a wetting rain occurred.
Humidities are up from this rain with light winds and the lower
atmosphere was stable today with high pressure aloft. It is expected
to remain stable on Thursday but with higher temperatures and lower
relative humidities. Northerly winds will remain light. Friday into
the weekend temperatures remain warm...humidities continue to decrease
and the lower atmosphere becomes more unstable. Isolated afternoon
and evening thunderstorms will also be possible.

.TONIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (55-70 percent).
CWR.................0 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........80 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......North 5 mph.
Mixing height.......4000 ft AGL decreasing to 500 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 5 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around noon AKDT.

.THURSDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-60 percent). A slight chance of
                    afternoon showers.
CWR.................3 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........36 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......North 5 mph.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL increasing to 3600 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....West around 3 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 2300 AKDT.

.THURSDAY NIGHT...
Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (40-60 percent). A slight chance of
                    afternoon showers.
CWR.................3 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......None.
Min temperature.....Around 52.
Max humidity........73 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Ridgetop wind.......North 5 mph.
Mixing height.......3600 ft AGL decreasing to 400 ft AGL in the
                    late evening and overnight.
Transport winds.....North around 3 mph.
Inversion setup.....Around 1100 AKDT.

.FRIDAY...
Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (60-70 percent). Scattered rain
                    showers and isolated thunderstorms.
CWR.................10 percent.
Tstm Coverage.......Isolated.
Max temperature.....Around 78.
Min humidity........30 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds. Gusty and erratic winds expected
                    near any thunderstorms.
Ridgetop wind.......North 5 mph.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL increasing to 4100 ft AGL in the
                    late morning and afternoon.
Transport winds.....East around 4 mph.
Inversion burnoff...Around 2300 AKDT.

.FORECAST DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.SATURDAY...
Partly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the lower 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.SUNDAY...
Partly cloudy with scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms.
Lows in the mid 50s. Highs in the upper 70s. Light winds.
.MONDAY...
Mostly cloudy. Scattered showers and isolated thunderstorms. Lows
in the mid 50s. Highs in the lower 70s. Light winds.

$$
Forecaster...MAIER
Requested by...Upper Yukon Zone
Type of request...WILDFIRE
.TAG 2517860.6/AFG
.DELDT 07/16/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL akyfdc@firenet.gov,bpitts@blm.gov,kshields@blm.gov