535
FNUS71 KAKQ 181021
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Lecky Burn...VA DOF
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
521 AM EST Tue Nov 18 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0700 EST on November 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
High pressure moves off the coast later this morning, as low pressure
approaches from the west. It will be cool today as clouds increase,
along with a light southerly wind developing by late morning. Light rain
becomes likely tonight. Showers end early Wednesday morning.

.REST OF TODAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly to mostly sunny (20-50 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (80-100 percent). Chance of rain
                    late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......30 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 53.
Min humidity........33 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south around 5 mph early
                    in the afternoon, then becoming light late in
                    the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 4 to 8 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1380 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (21160 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 to 24.

TIME (EST)      7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........35  40  45  50  55  66  80  85  86  90  91
Weather cov.....                                    CHC CHC
Weather type....                                    RN  RN
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   10  10  10  10  20  30
Temp............25  31  39  45  48  51  52  52  52  50  49
RH..............81  66  50  42  39  34  31  31  35  39  47
20 FT wind dir..VAR VAR SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..0   1   2   3   4   5   5   4   4   3   3
20 FT wind gust.    2   3   5   6   7   8   6   6   5   5
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.8 1.2 1.5 1.9 2.2 2.6 2.2 1.9 1.5 1.2
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   SE
Transp wind spd.3   5   6   7   8   8   8   8   7   7   7
LVORI...........5   3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
ADI.............3   4   9   14  18  22  24  21  16  13  10
Vrate mph-ft/1K.1   3   6   10  14  18  21  17  13  10  7
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.TONIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (80-100 percent). Rain.
Chance of pcpn......80 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 38.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......500 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southeast 3 to 8 mph shifting to the southwest
                    around 5 mph after 3 am.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1724 mph-ft).
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................2 to 4.

TIME (EST)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........93  95  96  98  100 100 100 100 94  88  82  72
Weather cov.....CHC LKY LKY DEF DEF DEF DEF LKY LKY LKY SCH SCH
Weather type....RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RN  RW  RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).40  60  70  80  80  80  80  60  60  60  20  20
Temp............47  46  44  43  43  42  42  42  40  39  39  39
RH..............55  65  70  75  73  79  86  89  96  100 100 100
20 FT wind dir..SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   S   SW
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Mix hgt (kft)...0.8 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.6 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  SE  S   SW  W
Transp wind spd.7   7   8   8   8   6   5   3   3   5   5   5
LVORI...........2   3   3   3   3   4   5   6   8   10  9   9
ADI.............3   3   3   4   3   3   2   3   2   2   2   2
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5   3   3   4   4   3   2   1   1   2   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.WEDNESDAY...

Sky/weather.........Partly sunny (45-55 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers early in the morning.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 58.
Min humidity........64 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast around 5 mph
                    early in the afternoon, then becoming light
                    late in the afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northwest 5 to 6 mph shifting to the north 6 to
                    10 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2185 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (26334 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............5.
ADI.................4 to 33.

TIME (EST)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........62  53  47  42  37  36  35  35  36  37  38  40
Weather cov.....SCH
Weather type....RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).20  0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............38  39  42  45  49  53  55  57  57  57  55  52
RH..............100 100 96  89  83  71  69  64  64  64  69  74
20 FT wind dir..NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..2   2   2   3   3   4   4   5   5   5   4   4
20 FT wind gust.3   3   3   5   5   6   6   8   8   8   6   6
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.3 1.7 2.2 2.6 2.4 2.3 2.1 1.6
Transp wind dir.NW  NW  NW  N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   NE
Transp wind spd.5   5   5   6   6   8   9   10  10  9   9   9
LVORI...........9   9   7   5   4   3   3   1   1   2   3   3
ADI.............4   4   5   7   10  17  25  33  30  27  23  19
Vrate mph-ft/1K.2   2   3   5   8   13  19  26  24  21  18  14
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...BROWN
Requested by...Josiah Donaldson
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2526166.0/AKQ
.DELDT 11/18/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL josiah.donaldson@dof.virginia.gov