834
FNUS71 KAKQ 091545
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for Jackson prescribed burn...Virginia Department of Forestry
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
1145 AM EDT Thu Oct 9 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0800 EDT on October 10.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...

Dry weather continues Friday with RHs dipping into the upper 50s
in the afternoon under mostly sunny skies. Clouds increase late
Friday in advance of coastal low pressure impacting the region this
weekend, which will bring overcast skies and increasing rain chances
on Saturday. NE winds gust to around 15mph Friday afternoon and up to
20mph on Saturday.

.FRIDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (25-35 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 66.
Min humidity........56 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 6 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......4100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Northeast 3 to 9 mph shifting to the east 10 to
                    12 mph late in the morning.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1494 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (46345 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................4 early in the morning increasing to 56 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........11  14  24  34  40  45  51  50  50  49
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............43  49  54  59  62  64  64  65  66  65
RH..............86  83  69  67  62  60  56  58  56  63
20 FT wind dir..N   NE  NE  NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E
20 FT wind spd..4   5   5   5   6   6   5   5   5   5
20 FT wind gust.11  11  12  12  12  12  11  11  11  11
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 1.1 1.7 3.1 3.9 4.1 4.0 3.9 3.8 3.3
Transp wind dir.NE  NE  E   E   E   E   E   E   E   E
Transp wind spd.3   6   9   12  12  12  10  10  10  10
LVORI...........6   4   3   3   1   1   2   1   1   1
ADI.............4   8   19  44  56  54  29  50  49  42
Vrate mph-ft/1K.1   6   14  35  46  45  41  41  40  34
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.FRIDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Partly cloudy (45-55 percent) then becoming
                    mostly cloudy (60-70 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 50.
Max humidity........100 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......100 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....East 3 to 8 mph shifting to the northeast 6 to
                    9 mph overnight.
Smoke dispersal.....Fair (19435 mph-ft) early in the evening
                    decreasing to poor (345 mph-ft) late in the
                    night.
LVORI...............7.
ADI.................1 to 25.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........49  48  48  50  51  53  56  59  62  67  71  76
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............63  60  57  55  53  52  51  51  51  51  51  51
RH..............63  72  83  93  96  96  98  98  99  99  99  99
20 FT wind dir..E   E   NE  NE  E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  N   N
20 FT wind spd..4   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   2   2   3   3
20 FT wind gust.11  9   8   8   7   7   7   7   7   8   8   9
Mix hgt (kft)...2.4 1.3 0.4 0.1 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5 0.5
Transp wind dir.E   E   E   E   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
Transp wind spd.8   6   3   3   3   5   6   7   8   8   9   9
LVORI...........3   3   5   7   8   10  9   9   9   9   8   7
ADI.............25  2   2   1   2   2   2   3   4   4   4   4
Vrate mph-ft/1K.19  7   1   0   0   1   2   3   3   4   4   4
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly cloudy (75-85 percent). Slight chance of
                    rain showers late in the afternoon.
Chance of pcpn......20 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 68.
Min humidity........88 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming northeast 5 to 7 mph in
                    the late morning and afternoon.
Mixing height.......2600 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....North 8 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (4255 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to fair (25299 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............6.
ADI.................4 to 22.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........77  79  80  79  78  77  78  79  80  79  78  77
Weather cov.....                                SCH SCH SCH SCH
Weather type....                                RW  RW  RW  RW
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   10  10  10  10  10  10  20  20  20  20
Temp............51  51  52  55  58  61  63  65  66  67  67  66
RH..............100 100 100 100 99  96  93  90  88  88  90  92
20 FT wind dir..N   N   N   N   N   NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE  NE
20 FT wind spd..3   4   4   5   6   6   6   6   6   6   7   7
20 FT wind gust.9   9   11  11  12  12  13  13  13  11  12  12
Mix hgt (kft)...0.5 0.5 0.7 1.0 1.4 1.9 2.3 2.5 2.6 2.6 2.4 2.0
Transp wind dir.N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N   N
Transp wind spd.9   9   9   9   8   8   8   9   9   9   9   9
LVORI...........7   7   7   6   5   5   4   4   4   4   4   4
ADI.............4   10  10  11  13  15  17  20  22  21  20  18
Vrate mph-ft/1K.4   4   6   8   11  15  19  22  25  24  22  18
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

$$
Forecaster...CHRETIEN
Requested by...Jessica Showalter
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523237.0/AKQ
.DELDT 10/09/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL jessica.showalter@dof.virginia.gov