507
FNUS71 KAKQ 172350
FWSAKQ

Spot Forecast for 4KM...4KM Land & Timber
National Weather Service Wakefield VA
750 PM EDT Fri Oct 17 2025

Forecast is based on ignition time of 0900 EDT on October 18.
If conditions become unrepresentative...contact the National Weather
Service at 757-899-5734.

.DISCUSSION...
Prevailing high pressure leads to dry conditions Saturday.
Increased mid-high level cloud cover is expected during the morning
and early afternoon hours, before clearing out in the later
afternoon. While it won`t be as dry as today (Friday), afternoon
minimum relative humidity values should drop to 40-45%, with values
potentially dropping below 40% for a brief period. Light and
variable winds in the morning shift to the south (at 5-10 MPH) by
the afternoon.

.SATURDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (35-45 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 73.
Min humidity........44 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......3000 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....Southwest 5 to 10 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1380 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to good (30704 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon.
LVORI...............2.
ADI.................3 to 38.

TIME (EDT)      9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........72  71  70  58  46  34  27  19  11
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............52  58  62  65  69  71  71  73  71
RH..............63  55  50  46  42  41  44  43  47
20 FT wind dir..SW  SW  S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..1   2   2   3   4   4   4   4   4
20 FT wind gust.5   6   7   8   8   9   9   9   9
Mix hgt (kft)...0.3 0.7 1.2 1.8 2.3 2.8 2.9 3.0 2.6
Transp wind dir.SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S
Transp wind spd.5   7   8   8   8   8   9   10  10
LVORI...........3   3   2   2   2   2   1   1   1
ADI.............3   5   13  20  24  28  32  38  33
Vrate mph-ft/1K.1   4   10  15  18  22  25  30  26
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SATURDAY NIGHT...

Sky/weather.........Mostly clear (5-15 percent).
Chance of pcpn......0 percent.
Min temperature.....Around 54.
Max humidity........96 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds.
Mixing height.......400 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 5 to 9 mph.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (1724 mph-ft).
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................2 to 9.

TIME (EDT)      6PM 7PM 8PM 9PM 10P 11P MID 1AM 2AM 3AM 4AM 5AM
Sky (%).........9   7   5   4   3   3   5   7   9   17  19  21
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0
Temp............70  65  61  59  58  58  58  57  57  56  56  55
RH..............51  60  72  78  80  77  80  83  83  86  86  90
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..3   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   3   3   4
20 FT wind gust.9   9   9   11  12  13  13  13  13  13  14  14
Mix hgt (kft)...0.7 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4
Transp wind dir.S   S   SE  SE  S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.9   6   5   5   6   7   7   7   7   7   7   7
LVORI...........2   3   4   5   5   5   5   5   5   6   6   6
ADI.............9   3   2   2   3   3   3   3   3   3   3   3
Vrate mph-ft/1K.5   2   1   1   2   2   2   2   2   2   2   2
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  PR

.SUNDAY...

Sky/weather.........Mostly sunny (40-50 percent).
Chance of pcpn......10 percent.
Max temperature.....Around 76.
Min humidity........52 percent.
Wind (20 ft)........Light winds becoming south 6 to 12 mph with
                    gusts to around 21 mph early in the morning.
Mixing height.......4700 ft AGL.
Transport winds.....South 6 to 13 mph increasing to southwest 20 to
                    29 mph in the late morning and afternoon.
Smoke dispersal.....Poor (2300 mph-ft) early in the morning
                    increasing to excellent (107064 mph-ft) in the
                    afternoon increasing to excellent (123624
                    mph-ft) late in the afternoon.
LVORI...............4.
ADI.................3 early in the morning increasing to 100 in the
                    afternoon.

TIME (EDT)      6AM 7AM 8AM 9AM 10A 11A 12P 1PM 2PM 3PM 4PM 5PM
Sky (%).........25  30  34  34  35  35  37  40  42  48  55  61
Weather cov.....
Weather type....
Tstm cov........
Chc of pcpn (%).0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   0   10
Temp............55  54  56  60  65  70  73  75  76  76  76  74
RH..............90  96  90  81  70  61  55  52  50  52  52  57
20 FT wind dir..S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S   S
20 FT wind spd..4   4   6   7   8   9   10  11  12  12  12  12
20 FT wind gust.14  14  11  13  14  15  18  20  21  21  21  21
Mix hgt (kft)...0.4 0.4 0.4 1.1 1.8 2.5 3.2 4.0 4.7 4.7 4.6 4.6
Transp wind dir.S   S   S   S   SW  SW  SW  SW  S   S   S   S
Transp wind spd.6   6   7   13  20  25  28  26  26  28  29  29
LVORI...........6   7   5   3   3   1   1   1   1   1   1   1
ADI.............3   6   7   19  45  74  91  100 78  82  85  83
Vrate mph-ft/1K.2   2   3   14  36  64  88  107 123 129 132 129
Ventrate Cat....PR  PR  PR  PR  PR  FR  GD  GD  VGD VGD VGD VGD

$$
Forecaster...WRAY
Requested by...Kyle Mallas
Type of request...PRESCRIBED
.TAG 2523790.0/AKQ
.DELDT 10/17/25
.FormatterVersion 2.0.0
.EMAIL khmallas@charter.net