Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS
Issued by NWS
344
FNAK52 PAFC 232349
FWFALU
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR SOUTHWEST ALASKA
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ANCHORAGE AK
349 PM AKDT Sun Jun 23 2024
.DISCUSSION...
An active day of shower and thunderstorm activity is underway
across the Greater Bristol Bay region. A compact area of low
pressure has aided in a persistent and near-stationary storm to the
southwest of Iliamna and to the northeast of Igiugig. This storm
has been producing frequent lighting throughout the day.
Subsequent outflow from the storm has since wrapped cyclonically
(counter-clockwise) all the way to Dillingham and Levelock with
additional showers and thunderstorms popping up in its path.
Satellite imagery suggests outflow will continue southward, likely
pushing offshore of the coast with the next couple of hours.
Isolated to scattered wet thunderstorms will continue through the
evening hours. Winds, however, remain below 10 mph across Greater
Bristol Bay and RH values remain above 60%.
Conditions have been quieter elsewhere across Southwest Alaska
with the Kuskokwim Delta likely to remain dry today, while the Middle
Kuskokwim Valley and Western Alaska Range could see showers and
thunderstorms develop later this afternoon and evening.
Lightning potential will redevelop on Monday with temperatures
likely to be warmer than today. Thunderstorm chances begin to
dwindle on Tuesday as a front approaches the Southwest coast and
high pressure gets nudged further north into interior Alaska.
AKZ153-241745-
MIDDLE KUSKOKWIM VALLEY-
INCLUDING...ANIAK...SLEETMUTE
349 PM AKDT Sun Jun 23 2024
.ABOVE 1500 FT...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 50 50 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 51 (+1) 57-66 (+2) 53 56-66
RH % (24H TREND) 79-85 (-9) 52-69 (0) 80-86 48-59
20FTWND(MPH) NW 7-16 N 3-6 LGT/VAR S 9-20
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5023 6395
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 6 S 18
CWR 10 10 10 10
LAL 3 3 3 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35376 123240
REMARKS...NONE.
.BELOW 1500 FT...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 50 60 60 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (0) 67-73 (+2) 56 66-73
RH % (24H TREND) 79-86 (-7) 42-55 (-2) 80-89 40-47
20FTWND(MPH) NW 6-13 NW 1-6 SE 1-5 S 9-17
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5266 7288
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 5 S 17
CWR 10 10 10 10
LAL 3 3 3 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 36912 127414
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. SLIGHT CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE
LOWER 50S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$
AKZ155-241745-
KUSKOKWIM DELTA-
INCLUDING...BETHEL...NUNIVAK ISLAND
349 PM AKDT Sun Jun 23 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR MCLEAR PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 20 20 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 49 (+1) 70 (+2) 53 71
RH % (24H TREND) 88 (-5) 49 (-1) 89 47
20FTWND(MPH) NW 9-18 NW 2-7 LGT/VAR S 9-20 G27
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5348 7657
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) NE 6 SE 22
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 33925 161875
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLEAR PCLDY MCLEAR MCLDY
PRECIP TYPE NONE NONE NONE NONE
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 0 0 0 0
TEMP (24H TREND) 46 (0) 59 (+1) 48 60
RH % (24H TREND) 93 (0) 55-67 (-2) 89 47-63
20FTWND(MPH) NW 16-20 NW 7-12 NW 5-12 SE 17-26
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 2873 3852
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) N 10 SE 28
CWR 0 0 0 0
LAL 1 1 1 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 23986 102465
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE LOWER
50S. HIGHS IN THE LOWER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S. HIGHS
IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
$$
AKZ162-241745-
GREATER BRISTOL BAY-
INCLUDING...KING SALMON...DILLINGHAM...NAKNEK...PILOT POINT
349 PM AKDT Sun Jun 23 2024
.INLAND AREAS...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY MCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 60 60 60 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 54 (+3) 61-68 (+1) 52 58-66
RH % (24H TREND) 81-91 (0) 55-66 (+3) 82-91 46-58
20FTWND(MPH) NW 6-15 SW 1-5 S 2-8 SE 8-19
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5172 5947
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SE 8 SE 18
CWR 10 20 10 0
LAL 3 3 3 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 42466 141624
REMARKS...NONE.
.COASTAL AREAS...
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS SHWRS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 40 30 20 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 47-53 (+2) 61-68 (-2) 49 59-67
RH % (24H TREND) 85-93 (0) 55-66 (+6) 94 50-60
20FTWND(MPH) NW 4-15 SW 2-11 SW 3-10 SE 11-23
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 4874 5839
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) SW 9 SE 24
CWR 10 10 10 0
LAL 2 2 2 1
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 35174 109642
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER
40S. HIGHS IN THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
.THURSDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 25 MPH.
.FRIDAY...CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE MID 40S. HIGHS IN
THE UPPER 50S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 15 MPH.
$$
AKZ163-241745-
WESTERN ALASKA RANGE-
INCLUDING...LAKE CLARK NATIONAL PARK AND PRESERVE
349 PM AKDT Sun Jun 23 2024
TONIGHT MON MON NIGHT TUE
CLOUD COVER MCLDY MCLDY MCLDY PCLDY
PRECIP TYPE TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS TSTMS
CHANCE PRECIP (%) 70 70 60 20
TEMP (24H TREND) 55 (+6) 65-71 (0) 55 64-72
RH % (24H TREND) 79-85 (-15) 45-60 (+2) 76-82 37-52
20FTWND(MPH) NW 3-10 SW 3-6 S 2-6 S 5-18
MIXING HGT(FT-AGL) 5041 7598
TRANSPORT WND (MPH) S 8 SE 16
CWR 40 40 20 10
LAL 3 3 3 2
VENT RATE (KT-FT) 43538 107831
REMARKS...NONE.
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 5...
.WEDNESDAY...PARTLY CLOUDY. ISOLATED SHOWERS. LOWS AROUND 50.
HIGHS IN THE UPPER 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
.THURSDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTHEAST WINDS AROUND 20 MPH.
.FRIDAY...MOSTLY CLOUDY. CHANCE OF RAIN. LOWS IN THE UPPER 40S.
HIGHS IN THE MID 60S. SOUTH WINDS AROUND 10 MPH.
$$