476
FXUS61 KALY 311725
AFDALY

Area Forecast Discussion
National Weather Service Albany NY
125 PM EDT Sat Oct 31 2026

.WHAT HAS CHANGED...
No significant changes with this forecast update.

&&

.KEY MESSAGES...
Mostly dry weather is expected this weekend through at least
the middle of next week, with increasing chances for rain later
in the week.

&&

.DISCUSSION...
KEY MESSAGE 1...

High pressure centered over the region will bring mainly clear
skies and cool temperatures tonight into Sun morning. Lows will
be mainly in the 20s across much of the area. After a cool
start, temperatures will warm to slightly above normal levels
Sun P.M. as high pressure shifts south of the area and a SW flow
develops. The high looks to be positioned over the mid Atlantic
region through early next week, with ridging extending north
into our area providing continued dry conditions. A warm front
may bring a few light showers to the Adirondacks Tue P.M, but
most areas will remain dry. High confidence in above normal
temperatures persisting through next week. The next chance of
rain arrives later next week Thu/Fri, although confidence in
timing and rainfall amounts is low due to considerable spread in
guidance with regards to the pattern evolution of a potential
closed low or a more progressive open wave trough aloft and
associated cold front passage. Given high uncertainty this far
out, 50-60% PoPs look reasonable during this time.

&&

.AVIATION /18Z SATURDAY THROUGH THURSDAY/...
Through 18z Sunday, generally VFR conditions are expected
through the period with just some patchy clouds with bases of
4000-6000 FT AGL this afternoon, and some passing high clouds
late tonight into Sunday. There is a very low chance (<10%) of
some patchy ground fog forming around sunrise at KPSF and KGFL,
however have left out mention at this time due to such a low
probability. Winds will be west to northwest at 5-10 KT this
afternoon, becoming light/variable to calm tonight into Sunday
morning, then trending into the west to southwest at 4-8 KT by
early Sunday afternoon.

Outlook...

Sunday Night-Wednesday: No Operational Impact. NO SIG WX.
Wednesday Night-Thu: Moderate Operational Impact. Chance of SHRA.

&&

.ALY WATCHES/WARNINGS/ADVISORIES...
CT...None.
NY...None.
MA...None.
VT...None.

&&

$$

DISCUSSION...07
AVIATION...24