Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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FNUS51 KALY 150702
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
201 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

.DISCUSSION...
After a chilly start, expect increasing clouds today ahead of a
strengthening clipper system that will result in a period of
precipitation late this afternoon into tonight including freezing
rain for parts of the Adirondacks, Upper Hudson Valley and
southern Vermont. Chilly and blustery conditions then arrive for
Sunday through Monday with lake effect and upslope snow
showers.

NYZ206-152100-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
201 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)     70           100          80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      39 (+3)      30 (+10)     39
RH % (24H Trend)      61 (-15)     100 (+1)     73
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   W 10 G36
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      W  9 G36
Precip Amount         0.15         0.55         0.19
Precip Duration       1            11           11
Precip Begin          3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2560                      5220
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7                     W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     15360                     140940
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10
Max LVORI late        5            10           6

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-152100-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
201 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%)     50           100          60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      40 (-1)      29 (+7)      44
RH % (24H Trend)      57 (-2)      100 (+1)     65
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   W 11 G36
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      W 12 G36
Precip Amount         0.05         0.41         0.05
Precip Duration       1            8            4
Precip Begin          3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3250                      5740
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7                     W 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     19500                     149240
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           9
Max LVORI late        4            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-152100-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
201 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Frz Rain     Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      46 (+3)      34 (+10)     47
RH % (24H Trend)      53 (-10)     100 (+1)     56
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   W 11 G40
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  6 G31     W 13 G40
Precip Amount         0.05         0.26         0.03
Precip Duration       0            7            2
Precip Begin          3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2730                      7020
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW  7                     W 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     16380                     203580
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           8
Max LVORI late        4            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-152100-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
201 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Tstms        Showers
Chance Precip (%)     50           90           50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            20           0
Temp (24H Trend)      46 (+7)      34 (+10)     42
RH % (24H Trend)      50 (-23)     100 (+4)     61
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   W 12 G39
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  6 G35     NW 12 G39
Precip Amount         0.07         0.29         0.04
Precip Duration       1            7            2
Precip Begin          3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2700                      5940
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  7                      NW 38
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     16200                     196020
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            10           8
Max LVORI late        4            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-152100-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
201 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           100          60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      40 (+2)      30 (+8)      42
RH % (24H Trend)      58 (-6)      100 (0)      71
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   W 12 G36
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5 G31     W 13 G36
Precip Amount         0.01         0.51         0.17
Precip Duration       0            10           6
Precip Begin          4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2960                      5190
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  7                      W 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     17760                     124560
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           9            10
Max LVORI late        4            10           5

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-152100-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
201 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           100          60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      39 (+3)      27 (+6)      42
RH % (24H Trend)      55 (-10)     100 (+1)     76
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   W  9 G35
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      W  8 G35
Precip Amount         0.01         0.55         0.11
Precip Duration       0            10           5
Precip Begin          5 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3010                      5260
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  9                      W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     24080                     142020
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           9
Max LVORI late        4            10           6

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-152100-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
201 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Frz Rain     Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            100          30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      42 (+1)      30 (+8)      45
RH % (24H Trend)      47 (-8)      100 (+1)     68
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   W  6 G29
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      W  7 G29
Precip Amount         0.00         0.38         0.03
Precip Duration                    9            2
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3440                      5190
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  9                      W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     27520                     140130
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           9
Max LVORI late        3            10           5

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-152100-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
201 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      40 (+2)      30 (+9)      42
RH % (24H Trend)      55 (-8)      100 (0)      67
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   W 16 G41
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  6 G33     W 16 G41
Precip Amount         0.02         0.50         0.07
Precip Duration       0            9            2
Precip Begin          4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2650                      5220
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW  9                     W 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     21200                     161820
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           9
Max LVORI late        4            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-152100-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
201 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Frz Rain     Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            100          40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      42 (+2)      31 (+9)      44
RH % (24H Trend)      55 (-6)      100 (0)      65
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   W 12 G39
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  6 G29     W 13 G39
Precip Amount         0.00         0.44         0.04
Precip Duration                    9            2
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2520                      5640
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  9                      W 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     20160                     169200
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           9
Max LVORI late        4            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-152100-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
201 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           90           40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      44 (+2)      34 (+10)     47
RH % (24H Trend)      53 (-3)      100 (0)      61
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   W 10 G36
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5 G25     W 12 G36
Precip Amount         0.01         0.34         0.10
Precip Duration       0            8            2
Precip Begin          4 PM         Continuing   8 AM
Precip End            Continuing   6 AM         Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3040                      6100
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  8                      W 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     21280                     183000
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           9
Max LVORI late        3            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-152100-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
201 AM EST Sat Nov 15 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      Showers
Chance Precip (%)     40           90           20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      46 (+2)      36 (+11)     49
RH % (24H Trend)      53 (-1)      100 (0)      58
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   W 12 G37
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5 G23     W 14 G37
Precip Amount         0.01         0.34         0.01
Precip Duration       0            7            1
Precip Begin          4 PM         Continuing   11 AM
Precip End            Continuing   6 AM         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)2960                      6370
Transport Wnd (mph)   W  8                      W 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     20720                     184730
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           8
Max LVORI late        3            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs around 40.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain likely and a chance of freezing
rain. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. North winds
around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$