Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
274
FNUS51 KALY 131847
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
146 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Lake effect rain/snow showers and cool temperatures
continue today and Friday, although lake effect precipitation will
not be as widespread on Friday. Drier weather briefly returns
Saturday, but a low pressure system tracking to our north will bring
valley rain and high-elevation wintry mix changing to rain Saturday
night and Sunday. Additional lake effect snow showers will be
possible behind this storm early next week with another cold
airmass moving over the region.
NYZ206-140900-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
146 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Snow Showers Snow Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 22 (-8) 37 (+1) 17 43
RH % (24H Trend) 100 (0) 60 (-24) 100 54
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var NW 5 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.02 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5350 3120
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 18 W 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 85600 24960
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 9 9 9 9
Max LVORI late 9 5 9 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ207-140900-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
146 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 25 (-8) 44 (+3) 20 43
RH % (24H Trend) 94 (-4) 50 (-21) 98 49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) NW 5 G17 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var NW 6 G17 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5800 3890
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 18 W 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 92800 31120
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 7 7 6 9
Max LVORI late 7 3 9 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ208-140900-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
146 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 27 (-9) 45 (+2) 23 47
RH % (24H Trend) 97 (+5) 50 (-20) 98 50
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) NW 5 G19 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) NW 5 G23 NW 7 G19 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 6090 3760
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 22 NW 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 115710 33840
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 7 8 6 9
Max LVORI late 7 3 8 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ209-140900-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
146 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Snow Showers Snow Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 30 10 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 24 (-9) 42 (+4) 21 47
RH % (24H Trend) 97 (+3) 55 (-21) 97 48
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) NW 6 G21 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) NW 7 G25 NW 6 G21 NW 5 G18 Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.04 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 PM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5750 3410
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 23 NW 9
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 115000 27280
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 7 9 7 8
Max LVORI late 8 4 7 4
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ036-140900-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
146 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Mcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 23 (-10) 40 (+2) 19 43
RH % (24H Trend) 97 (-2) 53 (-28) 97 46
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) NW 5 G19 NW 6 G18 Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5290 3410
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 18 W 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 84640 34100
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 7 8 6 8
Max LVORI late 8 4 8 3
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ037-140900-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
146 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 23 (-7) 37 (0) 18 41
RH % (24H Trend) 96 (-2) 58 (-25) 97 51
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5270 3580
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 21 NW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 94860 39380
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 7 7 7 8
Max LVORI late 7 4 8 4
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ038-140900-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
146 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 26 (-7) 42 (0) 22 42
RH % (24H Trend) 88 (-7) 48 (-22) 92 44
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var Lgt/Var
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5670 3930
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 21 NW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 102060 43230
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 6 6 6 6
Max LVORI late 6 3 7 3
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ001-140900-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
146 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 25 (-7) 39 (+1) 19 43
RH % (24H Trend) 96 (-2) 56 (-28) 97 48
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) NW 7 G20 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) NW 7 G23 NW 7 G20 NW 5 W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 4980 3180
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 21 NW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 89640 38160
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 7 6 9
Max LVORI late 8 4 8 3
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ025-140900-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
146 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 26 (-8) 42 (+2) 22 43
RH % (24H Trend) 97 (-1) 54 (-26) 97 49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) NW 6 G20 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) NW 6 G23 NW 7 G20 Lgt/Var W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5240 2980
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 22 NW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 99560 38740
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 8 7 9
Max LVORI late 8 4 8 3
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ001-140900-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
146 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 28 (-6) 43 (0) 24 45
RH % (24H Trend) 93 (-2) 52 (-17) 93 49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) NW 6 G20 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) NW 6 G23 NW 7 G20 Lgt/Var W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5630 3120
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 24 NW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 118230 34320
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 7 7 6 7
Max LVORI late 7 3 6 4
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ013-140900-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
146 PM EST Thu Nov 13 2025
Tonight Fri Fri Night Sat
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Mclear Pcldy
Precip Type None None None None
Chance Precip (%) 0 0 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 29 (-6) 45 (0) 25 46
RH % (24H Trend) 92 (0) 51 (-12) 93 50
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) NW 7 G20 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) NW 6 G20 NW 8 G20 Lgt/Var W 5
Precip Amount 0.00 0.00 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl) 5770 3200
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 25 NW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 126940 35200
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 6 6 6 7
Max LVORI late 7 3 7 4
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Rain with snow showers and freezing rain likely. Lows
in the lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 5 to
10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the upper 30s. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$