Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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607
FNUS51 KALY 141847
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
146 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

.DISCUSSION...
After a few leftover lake effect rain and snow showers today,
high pressure builds overhead resulting in a chilly night
tonight. Then, our next disturbance approaches tomorrow into
tomorrow night leading to widespread rain showers with periods
of freezing rain in parts of the southern Adirondacks, Upper
Hudson Valley, and southern Vermont. We turn cooler Sunday
through early next week with breezy conditions and additional
lake effect snow showers.

NYZ206-150900-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
146 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           100          70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      18 (-7)      39 (+3)      30           39
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     61 (-15)     100          75
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   W 10 G33
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      W  9 G33
Precip Amount         0.00         0.15         0.47         0.15
Precip Duration                    1            12           9
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2360                      4750
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  8                     NW 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  16520                     109250
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10           9
Max LVORI late        10           5            10           6

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-150900-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
146 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      20 (-6)      40 (-1)      30           44
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+3)     58 (-1)      100          60
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   W 11 G33
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      W 12 G33
Precip Amount         0.00         0.07         0.32         0.04
Precip Duration                    1            10           3
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2990                      4930
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  6                     NW 25
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  14950                     108460
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            10           10           9
Max LVORI late        10           4            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-150900-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
146 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           100          30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      22 (-7)      46 (+3)      35           47
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+2)     55 (-8)      100          54
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   W 11 G36
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  6 G25     W 13 G36
Precip Amount         0.00         0.06         0.25         0.02
Precip Duration                    0            8            2
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2720                      6970
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  7                     NW 30
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  16320                     181220
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            10           9            8
Max LVORI late        10           4            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-150900-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
146 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           100          40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      22 (-5)      46 (+7)      34           42
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+2)     51 (-22)     100          63
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   W 12 G35
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      SW  6 G29    NW 12 G35
Precip Amount         0.00         0.07         0.31         0.05
Precip Duration                    1            8            2
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2750                      5580
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW  9                     NW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  22000                     156240
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            9            9            8
Max LVORI late        9            5            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-150900-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
146 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      21 (-4)      40 (+2)      31           42
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (0)      59 (-5)      100          67
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   W 12 G34
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5 G24     W 13 G34
Precip Amount         0.00         0.06         0.51         0.11
Precip Duration       0            0            10           3
Precip Begin          6 PM         4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2910                      4770
Transport Wnd (mph)                W  8                      W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  20370                     109710
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           9            10
Max LVORI late        10           4            10           5

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-150900-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
146 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           30           100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      19 (-6)      39 (+3)      29           42
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+3)     52 (-13)     100          73
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   W  9 G32
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      W  8 G32
Precip Amount         0.00         0.04         0.45         0.09
Precip Duration       0            0            10           3
Precip Begin          6 PM         4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            8 PM         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2980                      4900
Transport Wnd (mph)                NW 10                     W 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  26820                     122500
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            10           10           9
Max LVORI late        10           4            10           6

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-150900-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
146 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Mclear       Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Frz Rain     Frz Rain     Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           100          40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      21 (-6)      42 (+1)      31           45
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+5)     50 (-5)      100          65
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   W  6 G27
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      W  7 G27
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.28         0.03
Precip Duration                    0            10           3
Precip Begin                       5 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3330                      4770
Transport Wnd (mph)                W  8                      W 26
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  23310                     109710
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            10           10           9
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-150900-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
146 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers None         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            100          40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      20 (-6)      40 (+2)      32           42
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     58 (-5)      100          68
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   W 15 G39
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  6 G27     W 16 G39
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.43         0.04
Precip Duration       0                         10           3
Precip Begin          6 PM                      6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            8 PM                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2570                      4430
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 10                      W 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  23130                     119610
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10           9
Max LVORI late        10           4            10           5

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-150900-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
146 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            100          30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      21 (-6)      42 (+2)      33           44
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (0)      54 (-7)      100          61
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   W 11 G37
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  6 G24     W 13 G37
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.41         0.04
Precip Duration                                 10           3
Precip Begin                                    6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2310                      5060
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 10                      NW 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  20790                     136620
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           10           10           10
Max LVORI late        10           4            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-150900-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
146 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            100          20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      23 (-6)      44 (+2)      36           47
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     51 (-5)      100          58
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   W 10 G35
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      S  5 G20     W 12 G35
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.29         0.02
Precip Duration                                 7            1
Precip Begin                                    6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2750                      5600
Transport Wnd (mph)                W  9                      NW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  22000                     140000
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            10           10           9
Max LVORI late        10           4            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-150900-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
146 PM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Tonight      Sat          Sat Night    Sun

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            100          20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      24 (-6)      46 (+2)      38           49
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     51 (-3)      100          55
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   W 12 G34
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      SW  5        S  5 G20     W 14 G34
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.25         0.02
Precip Duration                                 7            1
Precip Begin                                    6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2700                      5640
Transport Wnd (mph)                W  8                      NW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  18900                     141000
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            10           10           9
Max LVORI late        10           3            10           3

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds 10 to 15 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs around 40.
Southwest winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of rain and snow. Lows
around 30. Highs in the mid 40s. North winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$