Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
Issued by NWS Albany, NY
128
FNUS51 KALY 160703
FWFALY
FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
201 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
.DISCUSSION...
Low pressure moving across northern New York will bring
precipitation this evening into Sunday. Parts of the southern
Adirondacks, Upper Hudson Valley and southern Vermont will see
freezing rain. Elsewhere, rain is expected. Additionally, the
western Mohawk Valley and the eastern Catskills may get a rumble of
thunder. Behind the storm, chilly and blustery conditions then
arrive for Sunday through Monday with lake effect and upslope snow
showers.
NYZ206-162100-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
201 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain Snow Showers Snow Showers
Chance Precip (%) 70 70 60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 35 (0) 19 (-12) 30
RH % (24H Trend) 74 (+8) 99 (-1) 70
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 11 G36 NW 10 G33
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 11 G36 W 10 G35 W 9 G33
Precip Amount 0.17 0.10 0.04
Precip Duration 9 9 6
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5120 4450
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 32 NW 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 143360 106800
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 10 7 9
Max LVORI late 6 7 5
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ207-162100-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
201 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 50 30 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 41 (+3) 23 (-9) 38
RH % (24H Trend) 63 (+1) 79 (-21) 55
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 13 G37 W 13 G34
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 14 G37 W 12 G37 W 13 G34
Precip Amount 0.05 0.02 0.00
Precip Duration 2 2
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5320 4850
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 28 NW 28
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 127680 116400
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 9 4 4
Max LVORI late 4 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ208-162100-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
201 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain Frz Rain Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%) 20 10 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 44 (+2) 25 (-12) 38
RH % (24H Trend) 55 (-5) 81 (-18) 52
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 12 G41 NW 13 G36
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 16 G41 W 12 G41 NW 13 G36
Precip Amount 0.02 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 6 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)6220 6040
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 35 NW 32
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 186600 169120
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 4 4
Max LVORI late 4 4 3
Remarks...None.
$$
NYZ209-162100-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
201 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Frz Rain Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%) 30 30 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 41 (0) 21 (-14) 36
RH % (24H Trend) 60 (+1) 87 (-13) 58
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 12 G42 NW 13 G40
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 14 G42 NW 14 G44 NW 11 G40
Precip Amount 0.09 0.03 0.02
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5880 5570
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 41 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 211680 172670
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 8 5 5
Max LVORI late 4 5 4
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ036-162100-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
201 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain Snow Showers Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 40 (+3) 22 (-11) 35
RH % (24H Trend) 69 (+7) 84 (-16) 59
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 14 G39 W 14 G35
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 15 G39 W 14 G41 W 13 G35
Precip Amount 0.23 0.07 0.03
Precip Duration 2 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4790 4950
Transport Wnd (mph) W 26 NW 29
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 110170 123750
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 9 5 4
Max LVORI late 5 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ037-162100-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
201 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain Frz Rain Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%) 50 40 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 39 (+3) 20 (-11) 32
RH % (24H Trend) 75 (+12) 90 (-10) 67
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 10 G36 W 11 G36
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 10 G36 W 11 G37 W 9 G36
Precip Amount 0.16 0.10 0.03
Precip Duration 2 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4690 4700
Transport Wnd (mph) W 37 NW 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 150080 136300
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 10 6 6
Max LVORI late 7 6 5
Remarks...None.
$$
VTZ038-162100-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
201 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Mcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers Snow Showers None
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 42 (+1) 24 (-10) 37
RH % (24H Trend) 65 (+11) 82 (-18) 56
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 7 G32 W 9 G33
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 8 G32 W 8 G33 W 8 G33
Precip Amount 0.04 0.01 0.00
Precip Duration 2 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing
Precip End Continuing 2 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5040 5070
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 32 NW 31
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 141120 136890
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 10 5 4
Max LVORI late 4 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ001-162100-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
201 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Frz Rain Snow Showers Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 40 (+3) 22 (-12) 34
RH % (24H Trend) 68 (+10) 84 (-15) 61
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 16 G43 W 18 G41
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 18 G43 W 17 G43 W 15 G41
Precip Amount 0.04 0.02 0.03
Precip Duration 2 1 1
Precip Begin 6 AM Continuing Continuing
Precip End Continuing Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)3950 4530
Transport Wnd (mph) W 31 NW 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 106650 135900
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 9 5 5
Max LVORI late 5 5 4
Remarks...None.
$$
MAZ025-162100-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
201 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Mcldy Mcldy Mcldy
Precip Type Showers Snow Showers Frz Rain
Chance Precip (%) 30 20 10
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 42 (+3) 24 (-9) 36
RH % (24H Trend) 64 (+6) 82 (-18) 59
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 12 G42 NW 14 G39
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 14 G42 W 14 G42 NW 13 G39
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.01
Precip Duration 1 1 0
Precip Begin 6 AM 1 AM Continuing
Precip End 4 PM Continuing 1 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5060 4880
Transport Wnd (mph) W 35 NW 36
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 151800 151280
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 10 5 5
Max LVORI late 4 4 4
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ001-162100-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
201 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 45 (+3) 26 (-9) 38
RH % (24H Trend) 61 (+6) 77 (-23) 54
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 11 G40 W 12 G35
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 14 G40 W 12 G39 NW 12 G35
Precip Amount 0.03 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 6 AM
Precip End 4 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5840 5500
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 37 NW 35
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 186880 165000
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 9 4 4
Max LVORI late 4 4 3
Remarks...None.
$$
CTZ013-162100-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
201 AM EST Sun Nov 16 2025
Today Tonight Mon
Cloud Cover Pcldy Pcldy Pcldy
Precip Type Showers None None
Chance Precip (%) 20 0 0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0 0 0
Temp (24H Trend) 47 (+4) 29 (-8) 40
RH % (24H Trend) 59 (+5) 73 (-27) 52
Wind 20ft/early(MPH) W 13 G39 W 14 G34
Wind 20ft/late(MPH) W 16 G39 W 13 G39 NW 13 G34
Precip Amount 0.01 0.00 0.00
Precip Duration 1
Precip Begin 11 AM
Precip End 5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5980 5470
Transport Wnd (mph) NW 36 NW 33
Vent Rate (kt-ft) 185380 158630
ADI early Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
ADI late Very Poor Very Poor Very Poor
Max LVORI early 9 4 4
Max LVORI late 4 4 3
Remarks...None.
$$
.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds around 10 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. Light winds.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the lower 30s.
Highs in the upper 40s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain showers likely. Lows in the
upper 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. West winds around 5 mph.
.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal. Precipitation above normal.
$$