Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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923
FNUS51 KALY 241934
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
233 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Dry conditions through Tuesday morning will give way to
widespread, nuisance rainfall Tuesday afternoon through
Wednesday morning courtesy of the passage of an upper-level
disturbance. Temperatures surge above normal Wednesday as light
showers linger in response to a passing warm front. A potent
cold front then swiftly tracks through the region Wednesday
evening or Wednesday night, causing temperatures to nose-dive
below normal and significant lake effect to develop Thursday
into Saturday morning. Drier conditions are expected Saturday
afternoon into Saturday night before another storm system
threatens potentially widespread precipitation to end the
weekend.

NYZ206-250900-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
233 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           90           80
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      25 (-5)      44 (+8)      33           52
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     64 (-14)     100          88
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.03         0.20         0.10
Precip Duration                    0            7            6
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2250                      2150
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 15                      SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  29250                     21500
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            5            10           10
Max LVORI late        7            5            10           9

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-250900-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
233 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            20           90           50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      25 (-4)      47 (+3)      34           57
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     61 (+2)      100          86
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5         Lgt/Var      S  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.01         0.22         0.04
Precip Duration                    0            7            2
Precip Begin                       4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2200                      2200
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 14                      SW 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  26400                     22000
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            7            10           10
Max LVORI late        9            4            10           9

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-250900-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
233 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            50           100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      27 (-6)      50 (+2)      39           59
RH % (24H Trend)      98 (+6)      60 (+5)      100          83
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5 G17     Lgt/Var      S  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.07         0.25         0.04
Precip Duration                    1            8            2
Precip Begin                       1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2490                      3350
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 16                      SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  34860                     43550
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            6            10           10
Max LVORI late        7            5            10           8

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-250900-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
233 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            70           100          60
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      27 (-4)      48 (+6)      36           57
RH % (24H Trend)      89 (-2)      60 (+1)      100          82
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  5 G17                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5 G17     S  5 G17     SW  5 G17
Precip Amount         0.00         0.10         0.34         0.05
Precip Duration                    2            8            5
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2630                      2890
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 18                     SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  42080                     34680
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            5            10           10
Max LVORI late        5            5            10           8

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-250900-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
233 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      27 (-4)      49 (+7)      37           58
RH % (24H Trend)      96 (0)       56 (-6)      100          81
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5         S  5         S  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.35         0.06
Precip Duration                                 10           3
Precip Begin                                    6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2650                      2750
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 17                      SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  39750                     33000
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            4            9            10
Max LVORI late        7            4            10           8

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-250900-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
233 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      26 (-4)      46 (+7)      35           55
RH % (24H Trend)      94 (-5)      61 (-9)      100          92
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.37         0.06
Precip Duration                                 10           3
Precip Begin                                    6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2390                      2790
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 17                     SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  35850                     33480
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            4            10           10
Max LVORI late        6            4            10           9

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-250900-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
233 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      25 (-4)      47 (+3)      37           57
RH % (24H Trend)      99 (0)       61 (+1)      100          88
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.27         0.03
Precip Duration                                 11           3
Precip Begin                                    6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                                      Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2250                      2620
Transport Wnd (mph)                S 15                      SW 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  29250                     28820
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            7            10           10
Max LVORI late        9            4            10           9

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-250900-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
233 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      27 (-5)      48 (+8)      37           57
RH % (24H Trend)      94 (+3)      56 (-12)     100          83
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  5 G18                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  6 G18     S  6 G19     S  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.03         0.37         0.05
Precip Duration                    0            10           3
Precip Begin                       4 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2530                      2400
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 20                     SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  43010                     28800
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            4            10           10
Max LVORI late        6            4            10           8

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-250900-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
233 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      28 (-3)      49 (+6)      39           58
RH % (24H Trend)      96 (+1)      59 (-5)      100          88
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               S  5 G17                  Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5 G17     S  5 G18     S  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.05         0.34         0.05
Precip Duration                    0            11           3
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2200                      2280
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 17                     SW 15
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  33000                     29640
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            6            10           10
Max LVORI late        7            5            10           9

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-250900-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
233 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      28 (-3)      51 (+3)      41           59
RH % (24H Trend)      97 (+3)      62 (+8)      100          90
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  5 G17                 SW  5
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  5 G17     Lgt/Var      SW  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.06         0.40         0.05
Precip Duration                    1            11           3
Precip Begin                       3 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2280                      2120
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 18                     SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  36480                     25440
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            6            10           10
Max LVORI late        7            6            10           10

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-250900-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
233 PM EST Mon Nov 24 2025

                      Tonight      Tue          Tue Night    Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain         Showers
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           100          50
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      29 (0)       53 (+3)      43           60
RH % (24H Trend)      95 (+6)      65 (+14)     100          94
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               Lgt/Var                   SW  5
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      S  6 G17     S  5         SW  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.07         0.43         0.05
Precip Duration                    1            10           3
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   Continuing   Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2280                      1970
Transport Wnd (mph)                SW 17                     SW 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  34200                     23640
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            6            10           10
Max LVORI late        8            6            10           10

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THANKSGIVING DAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of rain and snow
showers likely. Lows around 30. Highs in the upper 30s. Southwest
winds 10 to 15 mph.
.FRIDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow showers. Lows in
the mid 20s. Highs in the lower 30s. Southwest winds around
15 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the lower 20s. Highs in the
lower 30s. West winds 5 to 10 mph.
.SUNDAY...Mostly cloudy with a chance of snow and rain. Lows
around 20. Highs in the upper 30s. Southeast winds around 5 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy with rain and snow likely. Lows in the
upper 20s. Highs in the mid 40s. South winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$