Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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868
FNUS51 KALY 070702
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
301 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Breezy conditions will occur across portions of eastern New York
and western New England today with some gusts on the order of 20
to 25 mph. While RH values will only fall to 50 to 60 percent
today, continued warm conditions and dry fuels combined with
the increasing wind could result in localized elevated fire
spread concerns. Per coordination with state partners, a Special
Weather Statement has been issued for southern Vermont until 5
pm this afternoon. A widespread rainfall begins this afternoon
and continues into Wednesday morning. Drier weather returns
later Wednesday and continues into next weekend with
temperatures returning to more seasonable levels.

NYZ206-072000-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
301 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Precip Type           Tstms        Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     80           100          30
Chance of Thunder (%) 20           0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      72 (-5)      45 (-5)      58
RH % (24H Trend)      63 (+22)     100 (+6)     52
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   NW  5 G24
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  5 G18    SW  5 G19    NW  6 G24
Precip Amount         0.25         0.66         0.04
Precip Duration       4            10           1
Precip Begin          10 AM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4560                      6920
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 18                     NW 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     72960                     117640
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            9            8
Max LVORI late        7            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-072000-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
301 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     60           100          70
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      78 (-2)      50 (-1)      65
RH % (24H Trend)      58 (+15)     100 (+2)     48
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  S  5 G23                  N  7 G25
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  8 G23    S  7 G23     NW  9 G25
Precip Amount         0.10         0.56         0.16
Precip Duration       2            11           2
Precip Begin          12 PM        Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   11 AM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4480                      7120
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 20                     N 18
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     76160                     113920
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           8            8
Max LVORI late        5            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-072000-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
301 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           100          90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      79 (-1)      54 (-1)      66
RH % (24H Trend)      54 (+12)     100 (+6)     49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  S  5 G24                  NW  8 G26
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   S  7 G24     S  6 G25     NW  9 G26
Precip Amount         0.01         0.63         0.32
Precip Duration       1            8            6
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4990                      7040
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 18                     N 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     79840                     119680
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            5            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            5

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-072000-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
301 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           100          90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      75 (-2)      48 (-5)      63
RH % (24H Trend)      59 (+19)     100 (+8)     51
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   NW  7 G25
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  6 G20    S  7 G26     NW  8 G25
Precip Amount         0.01         0.72         0.24
Precip Duration       1            8            4
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4240                      5910
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 18                     NW 23
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     67840                     118200
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            7            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-072000-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
301 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Cloudy       Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     30           100          90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      79 (+1)      50 (-2)      61
RH % (24H Trend)      54 (+15)     100 (+3)     58
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  S  5 G23                  N  7 G25
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  8 G23    S  8 G27     NW  8 G25
Precip Amount         0.05         0.79         0.33
Precip Duration       1            8            4
Precip Begin          1 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5350                      5830
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 22                     N 20
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     101650                    99110
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            6            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            5

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-072000-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
301 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Showers      Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           100          90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      77 (0)       50 (-2)      60
RH % (24H Trend)      55 (+16)     100 (+3)     60
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   NW  5 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  5 G21    SW  6 G24    NW  5 G23
Precip Amount         0.02         0.68         0.33
Precip Duration       0            7            5
Precip Begin          2 PM         Continuing   Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5620                      5740
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 22                     N 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     106780                    103320
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            6            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            5

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-072000-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
301 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            100          90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      78 (-3)      54 (+3)      63
RH % (24H Trend)      56 (+17)     100 (0)      53
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   NW  5 G23
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   S  5 G18     S  5 G20     NW  5 G23
Precip Amount         0.00         0.52         0.32
Precip Duration                    6            5
Precip Begin                       6 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5150                      5730
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 21                     N 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     92700                     103140
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       10           6            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-072000-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
301 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            100          90
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      76 (-2)      53 (-1)      60
RH % (24H Trend)      57 (+20)     100 (+6)     57
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  SW  5 G24                 NW  9 G26
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  9 G24    S  9 G27     NW  9 G26
Precip Amount         0.00         0.72         0.37
Precip Duration                    6            6
Precip Begin                       9 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4110                      5120
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 21                     N 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     73980                     92160
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            6            10
Max LVORI late        4            10           5

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-072000-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
301 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            100          100
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      77 (-1)      55 (+1)      62
RH % (24H Trend)      56 (+16)     100 (+2)     56
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  S  5 G23                  NW  8 G26
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  8 G23    S  7 G25     NW  9 G26
Precip Amount         0.00         0.59         0.42
Precip Duration                    6            6
Precip Begin                       9 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4170                      5220
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 21                     N 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     75060                     93960
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            6            10
Max LVORI late        4            10           5

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-072000-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
301 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            100          100
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      78 (-1)      57 (+2)      63
RH % (24H Trend)      55 (+11)     100 (+2)     59
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  SW  5 G21                 NW  7 G27
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  8 G21    S  7 G21     NW  9 G27
Precip Amount         0.00         0.53         0.50
Precip Duration                    5            7
Precip Begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   2 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4540                      4980
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 21                     N 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     81720                     89640
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            6            10
Max LVORI late        4            9            5

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-072000-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
301 AM EDT Tue Oct 7 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Wed

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         Rain         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            100          100
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      78 (-1)      60 (+4)      63
RH % (24H Trend)      55 (+8)      100 (0)      61
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  S  5 G21                  W  8 G26
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   S  9 G21     S  9 G20     NW 10 G26
Precip Amount         0.00         0.42         0.49
Precip Duration                    5            8
Precip Begin                       10 PM        Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4430                      4670
Transport Wnd (mph)   SW 20                     N 21
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     75310                     84060
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            6            10
Max LVORI late        4            9            6

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.THURSDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
50s. Northwest winds around 5 mph.
.FRIDAY...Clear. Widespread frost. Lows in the upper 20s. Highs
in the upper 50s. North winds around 5 mph.
.SATURDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in the lower
60s. East winds around 5 mph.
.SUNDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
North winds around 5 mph.
.COLUMBUS DAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in
the lower 60s. North winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$