Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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502
FNUS51 KALY 140702
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
201 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

.DISCUSSION...
Lake effect rain and snow showers will continue through the end
of the week with continued below normal temperatures. After a
drier day on Saturday, a low pressure system will bring a period
of rain Saturday night, which may start out as freezing rain
for parts of the Adirondacks and southern Vermont. Colder air
returns to the area Sunday into early next week with another
round of lake effect rain and snow showers.

NYZ206-142100-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
201 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         Snow/Fz Ra
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            40
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      38 (+2)      17 (-8)      44
RH % (24H Trend)      63 (-20)     100 (+3)     54
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  5 G19    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.07
Precip Duration                                 2
Precip Begin                                    1 PM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5480                      2650
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 17                     SW  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     82200                     15900
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       9            9            9
Max LVORI late        5            10           4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-142100-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
201 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      44 (+3)      20 (-9)      44
RH % (24H Trend)      51 (-19)     100 (+10)    49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NW  5 G19                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  6 G19    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.02
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Begin                                    1 PM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5900                      3440
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 17                     SW  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     88500                     24080
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            7            9
Max LVORI late        3            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-142100-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
201 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           None         None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            20
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      45 (+2)      22 (-9)      49
RH % (24H Trend)      53 (-16)     100 (+8)     47
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NW  5 G21                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  7 G21    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.01
Precip Duration                                 1
Precip Begin                                    1 PM
Precip End                                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5480                      3020
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 20                     W  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     93160                     21140
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            7            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-142100-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
201 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Mcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers None         Rain
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            30
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      43 (+5)      21 (-8)      49
RH % (24H Trend)      57 (-19)     100 (+7)     46
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NW  6 G23                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  6 G23    NW  5 G17    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.04
Precip Duration       1                         1
Precip Begin          9 AM                      1 PM
Precip End            5 PM                      Continuing
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5170                      2700
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 21                     W  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     93060                     18900
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            7            8
Max LVORI late        4            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-142100-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
201 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      40 (+2)      20 (-7)      45
RH % (24H Trend)      54 (-20)     100 (+6)     45
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NW  5 G20                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  6 G20    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          12 PM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5350                      3160
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 18                     W 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     85600                     28440
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            6            9
Max LVORI late        4            10           3

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-142100-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
201 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers None         None
Chance Precip (%)     10           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      38 (+1)      18 (-9)      41
RH % (24H Trend)      59 (-19)     100 (+7)     49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          12 PM
Precip End            6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5290                      3270
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 20                     W 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     89930                     35970
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            7            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-142100-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
201 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      42 (0)       22 (-7)      43
RH % (24H Trend)      49 (-21)     97 (+8)      42
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  Lgt/Var                   Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5720                      3740
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 20                     W 12
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     97240                     37400
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            6            8
Max LVORI late        3            8            3

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-142100-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
201 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy
Precip Type           Snow Showers None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      40 (+2)      20 (-8)      44
RH % (24H Trend)      56 (-20)     99 (+5)      47
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NW  7 G24                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  7 G24    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       1
Precip Begin          12 PM
Precip End            5 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4740                      3310
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 21                     NW  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     85320                     26480
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            6            8
Max LVORI late        4            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-142100-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
201 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     20           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      42 (+2)      22 (-7)      45
RH % (24H Trend)      55 (-25)     100 (+1)     46
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NW  6 G24                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  6 G24    Lgt/Var      Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       0
Precip Begin          12 PM
Precip End            4 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)4820                      2690
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 21                     W 14
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     86760                     32280
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            8            9
Max LVORI late        4            9            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-142100-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
201 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      43 (0)       23 (-8)      46
RH % (24H Trend)      53 (-16)     98 (+4)      47
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NW  6 G24                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  7 G24    Lgt/Var      SW  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5210                      3100
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 22                     W 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     98990                     34100
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            7            8
Max LVORI late        4            9            3

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-142100-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
201 AM EST Fri Nov 14 2025

                      Today        Tonight      Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mclear       Pcldy
Precip Type           None         None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      45 (0)       26 (-6)      48
RH % (24H Trend)      52 (-11)     98 (+6)      49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)  NW  7 G24                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   NW  7 G24    Lgt/Var      SW  5
Precip Amount         0.00         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration
Precip Begin
Precip End
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)5430                      3150
Transport Wnd (mph)   NW 21                     W 13
Vent Rate (kt-ft)     97740                     34650
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            7            8
Max LVORI late        4            9            4

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Rain with snow likely and freezing rain. Lows in the
lower 30s. Highs in the mid 40s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. A chance of snow. Colder. Lows in the
mid 20s. Highs in the mid 30s. West winds around 10 mph.
.TUESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the upper
30s. West winds around 5 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs around 40.
West winds around 5 mph.
.THURSDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 20s. Highs in the
lower 40s. North winds around 5 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures above normal.  Precipitation above normal.

$$