Routine Fire Wx Fcst (With/Without 6-10 Day Outlook)
Issued by NWS Albany, NY

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411
FNUS51 KALY 011818
FWFALY

FIRE WEATHER PLANNING FORECAST FOR EASTERN NEW YORK...SOUTHERN
VERMONT...WESTERN MASSACHUSETTS AND NORTHWEST CONNECTICUT
NATIONAL WEATHER SERVICE ALBANY NY
218 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

.DISCUSSION...

There are no fire weather concerns over the next seven days.
Relative humidity values will generally remain around or above 50%
during this time with chances for showers tomorrow.

NYZ206-020815-
Southern Adirondacks-
Including the cities of Old Forge, Long Lake, Speculator, Piseco,
Northville, Caroga Lake, and Johnstown
218 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Mcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           Showers      Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     50           80           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      58 (+3)      66 (0)       37           61
RH % (24H Trend)      100 (+1)     84 (+4)      100          44
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               W  6 G20                  Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  6 G23    W  6 G20     NW  5 G18    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.07         0.17         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration       3            7
Precip Begin          6 PM         Continuing
Precip End            Continuing   6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2810                      5480
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 15                      N  7
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  36530                     32880
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            8            8            10
Max LVORI late        7            7            10           10

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ207-020815-
Upper Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of North Creek, Glens Falls,
Saratoga Springs, Clifton Park, Whitehall, and Cambridge
218 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            70           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      60 (+5)      72 (+2)      42           64
RH % (24H Trend)      96 (-3)      78 (+5)      98           49
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  8 G19                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  7 G20    W  7 G19     NW  5 G17    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.07         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    4
Precip Begin                       6 AM
Precip End                         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2910                      5430
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 12                      N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  29100                     43440
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            6            7            10
Max LVORI late        7            5            8            10

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ208-020815-
Middle Hudson Valley-
Including the cities of Amsterdam, Schenectady, Albany, Troy,
Berlin, Berne, Cairo, Catskill, Chatham, Kingston, Poughkeepsie,
Dover Plains, Ellenville, and Monticello
218 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      60 (+3)      79 (+8)      46           67
RH % (24H Trend)      97 (-2)      61 (-15)     97           48
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  6 G19                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   S  5 G17     W  8 G19     NW  7 G19    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.04         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration                    2            0
Precip Begin                       9 AM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   9 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             4100                      5230
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 16                      NE  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  57400                     41840
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            6            6            9
Max LVORI late        6            4            7            9

Remarks...None.

$$

NYZ209-020815-
Catskill-
Including the cities of Tannersville and Phoenicia
218 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           20           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      59 (+3)      75 (+7)      42           65
RH % (24H Trend)      97 (-2)      65 (-11)     99           44
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               W  7 G24                  Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  7 G20    W  8 G24     NW  8 G24    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.02         0.01         0.00
Precip Duration                    1            0
Precip Begin                       10 AM        Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   8 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3810                      5110
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 18                      N  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  60960                     35770
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            6            6            7
Max LVORI late        6            5            7            7

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ036-020815-
Southern Taconics-
Including the cities of Bennington, Manchester Center, and Pownal
218 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Mcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            80           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      60 (+6)      72 (+5)      43           62
RH % (24H Trend)      92 (-5)      75 (+3)      100          52
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  7 G20                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  8 G21    W  8 G20     NW  6 G18    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.13         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration                    6            0
Precip Begin                       7 AM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   9 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2270                      3960
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 16                      N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  31780                     35640
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       6            6            8            10
Max LVORI late        6            7            8            10

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ037-020815-
Southern Greens-
Including the cities of Londonderry, Stratton,
Woodford State Park, and Stamford
218 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            60           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      60 (+8)      72 (+5)      42           62
RH % (24H Trend)      95 (-4)      73 (0)       100          53
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  8 G24                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  7 G21    W  8 G24     NW  6 G19    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.08         0.03         0.00
Precip Duration                    4            0
Precip Begin                       7 AM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   9 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3160                      4810
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 20                      N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  53720                     38480
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            6            9            9
Max LVORI late        6            7            8            9

Remarks...None.

$$

VTZ038-020815-
Lower Connecticut Valley South-
Including the cities of Bellows Falls, Brattleboro,
Guilford Center, and West Brattleboro
218 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear
Precip Type           None         Showers      None         None
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           0            0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      60 (+7)      76 (+5)      45           64
RH % (24H Trend)      98 (-2)      66 (-2)      98           47
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  5 G20                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   S  5         W  7 G20     NW  5 G17    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.04         0.00         0.00
Precip Duration                    2
Precip Begin                       8 AM
Precip End                         6 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3680                      4820
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 16                      N 10
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  51520                     43380
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            7            7            9
Max LVORI late        7            5            7            9

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ001-020815-
Northern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Dalton, Hancock, Pittsfield, Florida,
and North Adams
218 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            50           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      60 (+6)      75 (+7)      44           63
RH % (24H Trend)      93 (-7)      66 (-4)      98           47
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  8 G23                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  8 G21    W 10 G23     NW  9 G21    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.09         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration                    1            0
Precip Begin                       9 AM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   8 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             2920                      4770
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 20                      N  9
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  49640                     38160
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            6            9            9
Max LVORI late        7            5            8            9

Remarks...None.

$$

MAZ025-020815-
Southern Berkshire-
Including the cities of Sandisfield, Great Barrington,
and South Egremont
218 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      61 (+6)      78 (+9)      46           65
RH % (24H Trend)      93 (-7)      60 (-12)     97           48
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  7 G21                 Lgt/Var
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  7 G19    W  9 G21     NW  8 G21    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.04         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration                    1            0
Precip Begin                       12 PM        Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   8 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3290                      5140
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 18                      N  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  52640                     35980
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            7            8            8
Max LVORI late        7            4            9            8

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ001-020815-
Northern Litchfield-
Including the city of Torrington
218 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Clear
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            40           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      61 (+6)      79 (+8)      47           67
RH % (24H Trend)      94 (-6)      58 (-15)     95           48
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  7 G21                 N  5
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  6 G18    W  9 G21     NW  8 G23    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.04         0.02         0.00
Precip Duration                    1            0
Precip Begin                       1 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   9 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3730                      5270
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 20                      N  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  63410                     36890
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       7            7            6            8
Max LVORI late        7            4            8            8

Remarks...None.

$$

CTZ013-020815-
Southern Litchfield-
Including the cities of Oakville, Gaylordsville, New Milford,
Terryville, and Thomaston
218 PM EDT Thu Oct 1 2026

                      Tonight      Fri          Fri Night    Sat

Cloud Cover           Pcldy        Pcldy        Pcldy        Mclear
Precip Type           None         Showers      Showers      None
Chance Precip (%)     0            30           30           0
Chance of Thunder (%) 0            0            0            0
Temp (24H Trend)      60 (+4)      79 (+7)      49           68
RH % (24H Trend)      98 (-2)      59 (-18)     92           51
Wind 20ft/early(MPH)               SW  5 G20                 N  5
Wind 20ft/late(MPH)   SW  5        W  9 G20     NW  7 G20    Lgt/Var
Precip Amount         0.00         0.05         0.04         0.00
Precip Duration                    1            0
Precip Begin                       2 PM         Continuing
Precip End                         Continuing   9 PM
Mixing Hgt(ft-agl/msl)             3890                      5190
Transport Wnd (mph)                W 18                      N  8
Vent Rate (kt-ft)                  62240                     36330
ADI early             Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
ADI late              Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor    Very Poor
Max LVORI early       8            8            6            7
Max LVORI late        8            4            7            7

Remarks...None.

$$

.FORECAST FOR DAYS 3 THROUGH 7...
.SUNDAY...Mostly clear. Lows around 40. Highs in the lower 60s.
Southeast winds 5 to 10 mph.
.MONDAY...Mostly cloudy. Lows in the mid 40s. Highs in the upper
50s. West winds 15 to 20 mph.
.TUESDAY...Breezy. Mostly clear. Lows in the mid 30s. Highs in
the lower 50s. Northwest winds 15 to 25 mph.
.WEDNESDAY...Mostly clear. Lows in the lower 30s. Highs in the
upper 50s. Southwest winds 5 to 10 mph.
.THURSDAY...Partly cloudy. Lows in the lower 40s. Highs in the
mid 60s. Southwest winds 10 to 15 mph.

.OUTLOOK 8 TO 14 DAYS...
Temperatures below normal.  Precipitation near normal.

$$